TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Semen Pankinof Harold Mayot, Semen Pankin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Semen Pankin34c4,348$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Semen Pankin26c2,000$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.7957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Semen Pankin26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.983,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Harold Mayot74c1,933$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.771,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Harold Mayot74c1,719$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.781,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Harold Mayot74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Semen Pankin73c1,276$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.794,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Harold Mayot75c1,249$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Semen Pankin19c1,130$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.471,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Semen Pankin26c999.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Semen Pankin34c867.59$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Harold Mayot5c775.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.255516.4%9 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Harold Mayot75c744$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5588853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Semen Pankin29c522.78$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.251,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Harold Mayot74c517$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Semen Pankin10c502.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7556827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Harold Mayot67c462$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…8be3backed Harold Mayot64c390.87$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.23372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Semen Pankin38c389.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7828562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Harold Mayot67c369.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.96051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Harold Mayot51c339.47$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.595,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Semen Pankin14c308.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.651,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Harold Mayot49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Semen Pankin25c272$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20434242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Harold Mayot74c266.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.331,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Semen Pankin25c251.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.065,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harold Mayot73c250.94$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.143,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Harold Mayot63c245.23$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Semen Pankin25c228.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0914657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Harold Mayot38c223.66$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.924,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Semen Pankin66c222.06$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.535,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Semen Pankin23c214.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.82,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Semen Pankin26c204.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Semen Pankin45c203.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Harold Mayot22c188.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Harold Mayot74c186.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9726457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Harold Mayot66c185$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3481255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Harold Mayot75c170$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harold Mayot72c166.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.987,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Semen Pankin51c164.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0419474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Semen Pankin22c159.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.762,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Semen Pankin27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.514835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Harold Mayot75c136$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025650%28 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Harold Mayot74c135.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Semen Pankin14c135.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.711,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Semen Pankin68c123.61$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.965346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Semen Pankin44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.862,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Harold Mayot71c119$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4434560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Semen Pankin28c112.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9424546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Semen Pankin27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1110551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Harold Mayot74c111$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.146352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Harold Mayot20c104.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.789,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harold Mayot50c97.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.354,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Semen Pankin25c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Semen Pankin73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3595742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Semen Pankin20c90$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9240527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…03b2backed Harold Mayot66c85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.152268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Semen Pankin23c81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7132935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Harold Mayot74c78.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1416645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Harold Mayot74c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Semen Pankin26c72.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.352,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Semen Pankin27c70.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.372,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Harold Mayot73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…d6fabacked Harold Mayot74c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.585337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Semen Pankin27c67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.071,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Harold Mayot74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.444442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Harold Mayot74c54.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9811557.4%66 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b2…abf1backed Semen Pankin28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.576653%35 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Harold Mayot76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Semen Pankin27c51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2351339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Harold Mayot76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Semen Pankin25c47.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.081,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Harold Mayot57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8334729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Semen Pankin74c45.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Harold Mayot44c44.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9411141.4%46 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Semen Pankin26c44.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.167,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…297bbacked Harold Mayot75c43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.254148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fad…58c5backed Harold Mayot74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Semen Pankin58c40.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6566834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Semen Pankin26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Semen Pankin27c37.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.052,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Harold Mayot71c35.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9956070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Semen Pankin78c34.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.552,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…0f4dbacked Harold Mayot73c29.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Harold Mayot40c29.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Harold Mayot66c22.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Harold Mayot77c20.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7133673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Harold Mayot74c16.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.983043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Semen Pankin78c13.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.