TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3560…8be3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$9.96
Little Rock: Justin Boulais vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$35.74
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.87
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$11.31
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$86.25
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.94
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.17
Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankinbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.2
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilasbacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$377.58
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.6
Chisinau: Pavel Kotov vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$140.41
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$887.73
Centurion: Mert Alkaya vs Yusuke Takahashibacked Yusuke Takahashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$303.34
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.79
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$82.42
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$268.88
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.84
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$85.88
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.55
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$180.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.57
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.1
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.92
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.