Tennis · resolved market
Little Rock: Justin Boulais vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d8c25da7f52f0ce2bdef8bf1ff80be5315adc5714be227bbcb08a0c6f78e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justin Boulaisof Justin Boulais, Nicolas Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justin Boulais | 30c | 2,302$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Justin Boulais | 49c | 1,595$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 73c | 1,516$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.08 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Nicolas Mejia | 15c | 1,240$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 1,221$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Justin Boulais | 34c | 1,040$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.22 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nicolas Mejia | 4c | 952.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nicolas Mejia | 38c | 800.73$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Justin Boulais | 38c | 760.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.39 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Justin Boulais | 79c | 581.01$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 571.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.97 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Justin Boulais | 35c | 563.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 555.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 554.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.61 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 510$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Justin Boulais | 58c | 375.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Nicolas Mejia | 48c | 358.77$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Mejia | 18c | 340.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 317.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 21c | 310.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nicolas Mejia | 40c | 301.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Justin Boulais | 65c | 299.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 298.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 276.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 245$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Boulais | 66c | 242.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nicolas Mejia | 67c | 227.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 224.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 204$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Nicolas Mejia | 12c | 165.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Justin Boulais | 39c | 159.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8be3backed Justin Boulais | 76c | 151.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Justin Boulais | 34c | 151.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Justin Boulais | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Mejia | 54c | 137.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Justin Boulais | 45c | 113.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Justin Boulais | 72c | 109.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 102$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Nicolas Mejia | 20c | 101.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Justin Boulais | 38c | 97.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Justin Boulais | 62c | 96.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Mejia | 13c | 93.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Justin Boulais | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 19c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 79.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Nicolas Mejia | 33c | 76.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Justin Boulais | 67c | 75.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nicolas Mejia | 19c | 69.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Justin Boulais | 31c | 68.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Justin Boulais | 39c | 67.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nicolas Mejia | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Justin Boulais | 37c | 53.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Nicolas Mejia | 31c | 52.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | -37.3wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 22-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Justin Boulais | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 49.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Nicolas Mejia | 67c | 45.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…3d45backed Nicolas Mejia | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 38.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…4eb4backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Justin Boulais | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed Justin Boulais | 38c | 34.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf324…fd84backed Justin Boulais | 32c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Justin Boulais | 38c | 30.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8696backed Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 30.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Justin Boulais | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Justin Boulais | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Justin Boulais | 41c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Nicolas Mejia | 55c | 25.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Justin Boulais | 73c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Nicolas Mejia | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.