TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fajing Sunof Fajing Sun, Li Tu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$568,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Li Tu54c35,051$19,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,033.1834047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Fajing Sun35c33,766$11,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,083.78151.9%42 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+133.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Li Tu69c16,403$11,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,314.6814264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Li Tu59c16,400$9,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,756.972259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Fajing Sun38c15,352$5,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,473.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fajing Sun39c14,168$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,642.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Li Tu69c12,087$8,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,317.1862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fajing Sun35c11,579$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fajing Sun53c9,543$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.954,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Fajing Sun43c8,456$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.3118237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Li Tu67c8,440$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,655.322,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Li Tu57c6,530$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.374250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Li Tu58c6,242$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.643,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Fajing Sun41c3,743$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.4825342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Fajing Sun46c3,687$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.2219835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Li Tu78c3,180$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.3562061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Fajing Sun43c3,175$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.577040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Li Tu1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Fajing Sun35c3,005$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.223046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Li Tu2c2,907$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.82280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Li Tu60c2,682$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Li Tu1c2,603$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53270%0 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fajing Sun39c2,575$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.666,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Fajing Sun25c2,512$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.7371729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa890…1a32backed Li Tu59c2,439$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Fajing Sun42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Li Tu53c1,997$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.671,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Li Tu56c1,954$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.2915248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Li Tu59c1,952$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.194,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Fajing Sun30c1,936$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.1730847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fajing Sun48c1,879$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.542,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Fajing Sun43c1,830$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.0318159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Li Tu68c1,613$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.994734%16 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Fajing Sun39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9154,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Fajing Sun28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Fajing Sun46c1,457$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.714,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Fajing Sun24c1,454$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9930225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe9…0382backed Fajing Sun48c1,410$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.017100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Fajing Sun18c1,321$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.8660053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Li Tu63c1,293$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.7345445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Fajing Sun41c1,280$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6517348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Li Tu64c1,277$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.5280153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Li Tu59c1,240$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.155,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Li Tu80c1,239$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8424558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Li Tu53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6368946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed Li Tu56c1,186$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.595554.5%30 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Li Tu37c1,158$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.971,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Li Tu58c1,130$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.1621451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bc…5899backed Fajing Sun38c1,119$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.252552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Li Tu57c1,114$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6410646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Li Tu56c1,032$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.711,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Li Tu75c1,031$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.511,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Fajing Sun30c1,017$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.6136944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6d…49acbacked Fajing Sun40c1,015$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Fajing Sun34c1,012$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.0119926.6%53 W · 146 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Li Tu58c1,008$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.8820459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99a…2ad2backed Fajing Sun39c1,005$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked Fajing Sun42c1,001$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5812750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Li Tu53c1,001$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.537250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Li Tu57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Li Tu75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75041060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Li Tu1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Li Tu55c969.12$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.654,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Fajing Sun38c882.36$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.321754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Li Tu60c878.4$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0432851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Fajing Sun45c870.82$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.661,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Li Tu70c843.29$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.812,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Li Tu61c806.22$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1652460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Li Tu61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.322465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Li Tu61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.318462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Li Tu60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Li Tu1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Fajing Sun50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Li Tu68c770.6$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.54060%24 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Li Tu55c764.78$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Fajing Sun48c729.34$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9141251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Li Tu71c691.97$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.35971.2%42 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Li Tu59c671.71$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.313429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Fajing Sun41c658.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.667357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Li Tu59c657.9$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Li Tu44c643.69$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.221,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Fajing Sun46c632.89$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7615850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Li Tu61c619.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7828762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Fajing Sun40c602.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.56046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Li Tu70c600.09$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.262450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Li Tu73c595.42$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4712756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3560…8be3backed Fajing Sun52c560.16$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.883372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fb…e28fbacked Fajing Sun40c548.34$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3273638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Li Tu60c520.84$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9873549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Li Tu62c510.8$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.192,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Fajing Sun47c506.76$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5822248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Fajing Sun30c498.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Li Tu60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.81,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Li Tu60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.82,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4744…ea27backed Li Tu64c465.76$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.854148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Li Tu77c456.23$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.334353.5%23 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Fajing Sun35c444.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.572,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Li Tu54c434.8$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3718044.4%80 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Li Tu70c426.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.527,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Li Tu58c425.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5331656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.