Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa97edd8852ca59671f9a43341ea1f856d6f8d8601ed4980987f3eb7d37c329ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peter Fajtaof Peter Fajta, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franco Roncadelli | 11c | 13,290$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 2,655$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 1,990$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Peter Fajta | 22c | 1,891$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.19 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Peter Fajta | 60c | 1,658$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Peter Fajta | 50c | 1,346$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Franco Roncadelli | 1c | 1,252$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 805.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Peter Fajta | 40c | 793.52$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.01 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Peter Fajta | 49c | 745.89$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.74 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Franco Roncadelli | 59c | 713.28$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Franco Roncadelli | 77c | 521$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Roncadelli | 49c | 518.16$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Peter Fajta | 42c | 500$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Peter Fajta | 54c | 321.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Franco Roncadelli | 54c | 320.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 57c | 285.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Peter Fajta | 22c | 254.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Franco Roncadelli | 57c | 209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 204.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Franco Roncadelli | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Peter Fajta | 43c | 197.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 190.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Peter Fajta | 29c | 165.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 155.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6cdbbacked Franco Roncadelli | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 10c | 128.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 126.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Franco Roncadelli | 68c | 108.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Peter Fajta | 46c | 103.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Peter Fajta | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Franco Roncadelli | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Peter Fajta | 38c | 99.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 81.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Franco Roncadelli | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Peter Fajta | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Franco Roncadelli | 63c | 74.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 59.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 56.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Peter Fajta | 21c | 55.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Franco Roncadelli | 70c | 54.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Franco Roncadelli | 48c | 52.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…d5c1backed Peter Fajta | 30c | 52.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Franco Roncadelli | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Franco Roncadelli | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Franco Roncadelli | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Peter Fajta | 46c | 46.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Peter Fajta | 33c | 45.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Franco Roncadelli | 55c | 42.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 38.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Peter Fajta | 47c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Franco Roncadelli | 69c | 37.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8be3backed Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 36.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Peter Fajta | 35c | 36.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Peter Fajta | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Franco Roncadelli | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Peter Fajta | 80c | 27.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Peter Fajta | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Peter Fajta | 40c | 26.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4b…b7aabacked Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 26.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Peter Fajta | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Peter Fajta | 48c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Franco Roncadelli | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…ac9bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 24.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Franco Roncadelli | 47c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Franco Roncadelli | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…2adbbacked Franco Roncadelli | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Franco Roncadelli | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…11a0backed Franco Roncadelli | 70c | 17.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…d3c7backed Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.