Tennis · resolved market
Chisinau: Pavel Kotov vs Gauthier Onclin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08cf6d2d827daa5204cfa61ca13a8dce1217fa6b0963e02ba013015eae097b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavel Kotovof Pavel Kotov, Gauthier Onclin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe92d…0939backed Gauthier Onclin | 55c | 7,276$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pavel Kotov | 56c | 3,730$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pavel Kotov | 62c | 2,762$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pavel Kotov | 70c | 1,833$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Pavel Kotov | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pavel Kotov | 80c | 1,277$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gauthier Onclin | 17c | 1,072$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pavel Kotov | 67c | 1,068$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Gauthier Onclin | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gauthier Onclin | 40c | 863.1$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…34d8backed Gauthier Onclin | 11c | 788.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Gauthier Onclin | 18c | 600$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Gauthier Onclin | 16c | 464.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gauthier Onclin | 36c | 401.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gauthier Onclin | 32c | 396.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8be3backed Pavel Kotov | 63c | 378.75$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Gauthier Onclin | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gauthier Onclin | 20c | 225.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Gauthier Onclin | 50c | 196.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Gauthier Onclin | 26c | 193.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Pavel Kotov | 72c | 184.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 182.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Pavel Kotov | 73c | 164.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Gauthier Onclin | 12c | 157.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gauthier Onclin | 22c | 135.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Gauthier Onclin | 29c | 134.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Pavel Kotov | 75c | 131.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Pavel Kotov | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Gauthier Onclin | 15c | 127.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gauthier Onclin | 25c | 105.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 100.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Gauthier Onclin | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pavel Kotov | 73c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Gauthier Onclin | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Pavel Kotov | 64c | 69.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Gauthier Onclin | 23c | 68.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pavel Kotov | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Gauthier Onclin | 30c | 51.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Pavel Kotov | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Pavel Kotov | 62c | 48.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…a204backed Gauthier Onclin | 25c | 40.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Pavel Kotov | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Pavel Kotov | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Gauthier Onclin | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Gauthier Onclin | 35c | 34.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gauthier Onclin | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…7191backed Gauthier Onclin | 40c | 31.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 27.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Pavel Kotov | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Pavel Kotov | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pavel Kotov | 61c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 23.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 22.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gauthier Onclin | 59c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Gauthier Onclin | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Pavel Kotov | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pavel Kotov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Pavel Kotov | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pavel Kotov | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Gauthier Onclin | 72c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…3535backed Pavel Kotov | 75c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 114 | 73.7%84 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Gauthier Onclin | 73c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.