TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aidan Mayoof Aidan Mayo, Edas Butvilas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Edas Butvilas47c12,501$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2814backed Aidan Mayo61c10,274$6,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38f…5048backed Aidan Mayo63c6,128$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.793737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Edas Butvilas73c3,442$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Aidan Mayo57c1,941$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0a…6027backed Edas Butvilas53c1,888$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Aidan Mayo54c1,822$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.224,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Aidan Mayo35c1,715$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9335951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Edas Butvilas53c1,451$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3343347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Aidan Mayo56c1,380$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4613360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Edas Butvilas66c1,309$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.234,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Edas Butvilas43c1,291$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Aidan Mayo46c1,262$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Edas Butvilas50c1,244$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.113,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aidan Mayo24c1,186$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.513,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Aidan Mayo28c1,068$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9657842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Edas Butvilas36c1,059$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.035,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Edas Butvilas76c1,033$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.6560856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Aidan Mayo28c1,010$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.253843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Aidan Mayo49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4913050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aidan Mayo51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3994068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Edas Butvilas36c947.86$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1da…441ebacked Edas Butvilas60c832.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.143669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Aidan Mayo66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Edas Butvilas66c683.73$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Aidan Mayo48c649.17$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.254,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edas Butvilas48c636.24$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.538,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…8be3backed Aidan Mayo41c635.82$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.583372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Aidan Mayo41c588.89$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.964,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Aidan Mayo39c579.52$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9538931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Aidan Mayo38c525.54$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Edas Butvilas3c513.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Edas Butvilas43c476.61$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.331,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Edas Butvilas41c466.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.161,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Aidan Mayo27c444.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.437,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Edas Butvilas43c425.12$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.614,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aidan Mayo27c405.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Edas Butvilas48c376.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4139035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Edas Butvilas72c369.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.861,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Edas Butvilas48c345.43$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.132,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Aidan Mayo60c339$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.778950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Aidan Mayo42c325$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0214245.8%65 W · 77 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Edas Butvilas47c321.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Aidan Mayo27c310$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Edas Butvilas65c306.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Aidan Mayo38c305.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.551,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Edas Butvilas43c302.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.181,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Edas Butvilas66c276.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Edas Butvilas72c273.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.271,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Aidan Mayo35c273.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.089544.2%42 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Edas Butvilas31c273.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.669,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Edas Butvilas34c268.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4165346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Aidan Mayo68c254.79$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.972,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Aidan Mayo27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Aidan Mayo23c220.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.092,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Aidan Mayo28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.294443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Edas Butvilas72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Edas Butvilas55c200.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.441,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Edas Butvilas72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-51.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Aidan Mayo53c190.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Aidan Mayo49c184.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.444,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Edas Butvilas64c172.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4265952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Edas Butvilas42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.41,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Edas Butvilas77c164.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Aidan Mayo27c158$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c23…ed23backed Edas Butvilas64c156.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Edas Butvilas43c155.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.454,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Edas Butvilas66c155$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Aidan Mayo39c151.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.93,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Aidan Mayo58c148$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1614369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Aidan Mayo57c143.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.713,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Edas Butvilas51c140.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8933751.9%175 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Edas Butvilas75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Aidan Mayo39c133.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6934847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Edas Butvilas33c125.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.427733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Aidan Mayo35c122.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.861,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Aidan Mayo51c117.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.916,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Aidan Mayo53c113.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.341,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Aidan Mayo27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Edas Butvilas73c111.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1114657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Aidan Mayo25c110.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.115,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Aidan Mayo45c107.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Aidan Mayo53c106.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.592,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Aidan Mayo52c106.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Edas Butvilas47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Edas Butvilas77c106$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6237158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Edas Butvilas63c102.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.891,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Aidan Mayo61c102$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Aidan Mayo52c101.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.833,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Aidan Mayo38c101.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.563,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3201…27a4backed Edas Butvilas64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642774.1%20 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick74cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Aidan Mayo31c98.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Edas Butvilas26c94.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6952854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Edas Butvilas67c94.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.232,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Edas Butvilas56c90.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Edas Butvilas79c90.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9817656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…3b1bbacked Aidan Mayo41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.372759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c5…720fbacked Edas Butvilas62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Edas Butvilas64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Edas Butvilas47c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.474057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.