TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3201…27a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick74cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27%+$10.62
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibsonbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$192.29
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84.05
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.33
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$401.04
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152.01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$43
Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$24.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$262.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.