TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Peyton Stearns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Madison Keys58c17,324$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,324.4430056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Peyton Stearns77c15,963$12,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,252.116972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Peyton Stearns58c13,106$7,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,548.744,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Peyton Stearns38c9,107$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.7957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Peyton Stearns40c9,061$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.418940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Peyton Stearns20c9,043$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Peyton Stearns66c8,761$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.0822056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Peyton Stearns43c5,964$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.096,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Peyton Stearns11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55044018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Madison Keys31c4,839$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.7162956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Madison Keys48c4,632$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.796,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Madison Keys25c4,281$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.1121244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Madison Keys35c4,263$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.3548851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Peyton Stearns5c4,217$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys44c3,905$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.1311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Madison Keys36c3,561$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27632735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Peyton Stearns45c3,260$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.946336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Madison Keys61c3,258$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.6254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Madison Keys67c3,239$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.9541251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Madison Keys62c3,229$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.1779855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Madison Keys46c2,905$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.6916743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Madison Keys59c2,600$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06622842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Madison Keys60c2,531$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.5616552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Madison Keys47c2,457$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.2880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Peyton Stearns56c2,120$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.554,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Peyton Stearns40c2,096$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.399742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Madison Keys60c2,036$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.577443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Madison Keys52c1,853$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.551,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peyton Stearns64c1,805$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.074,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Peyton Stearns65c1,723$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.82,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc93…0b0ebacked Madison Keys79c1,697$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Madison Keys44c1,689$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.217,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Madison Keys35c1,680$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9913631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Madison Keys60c1,643$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.0112146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Madison Keys61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.385032%16 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a75…4342backed Peyton Stearns56c1,623$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9112857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Madison Keys55c1,553$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.073,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Madison Keys27c1,541$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.621,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Madison Keys25c1,529$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.639138.5%35 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Madison Keys50c1,342$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9362140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Peyton Stearns50c1,306$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Peyton Stearns4c1,247$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Peyton Stearns46c1,244$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.893839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Madison Keys13c1,149$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys57c1,118$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.249,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Madison Keys45c1,003$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.911,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…bf3cbacked Madison Keys19c999.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.993821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Madison Keys52c971.59$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.0999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Peyton Stearns37c952.03$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3c…4683backed Peyton Stearns6c903.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Peyton Stearns62c837.77$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3247956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…b5c5backed Madison Keys60c828.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.319057.8%52 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Madison Keys13c823.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.754,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Peyton Stearns40c710.38$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9766139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Peyton Stearns79c700$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Madison Keys60c656.12$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4524852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Madison Keys31c633.19$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.8893740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Peyton Stearns40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Peyton Stearns40c624.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9836848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Madison Keys16c624.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.4688935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Madison Keys60c620.38$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1522248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Peyton Stearns77c610.11$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0657249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Madison Keys44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Madison Keys25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37527931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Madison Keys66c500$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Madison Keys26c482.37$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3750442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3707…699abacked Madison Keys32c477.63$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Madison Keys21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1911946.2%55 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Madison Keys38c458.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8411247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Peyton Stearns8c456.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.574721.3%10 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Madison Keys60c438$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.27,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Peyton Stearns41c423.85$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.784,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Peyton Stearns12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Madison Keys32c371.88$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.889727.8%27 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys60c370.6$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…1613backed Peyton Stearns62c346.42$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.78655.8%48 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Madison Keys52c339.59$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.862,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e1…f9c6backed Madison Keys60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Madison Keys60c333.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337660.5%46 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked Madison Keys60c305.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.297452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Madison Keys60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Peyton Stearns39c299.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8555241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Madison Keys45c294.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.355243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Madison Keys20c292$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.423036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Peyton Stearns31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906933.3%23 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Peyton Stearns44c283$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x731c…a56fbacked Peyton Stearns72c280$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Peyton Stearns43c271.15$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Peyton Stearns14c269$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5717617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Madison Keys22c268.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1685449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Peyton Stearns38c264.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Madison Keys40c246.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4613545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Peyton Stearns41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Madison Keys44c239.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.52,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Peyton Stearns10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84922.4%11 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Madison Keys70c224.78$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4320261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Madison Keys80c218.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0421845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Peyton Stearns26c210.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420338.4%78 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Peyton Stearns30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Madison Keys59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.