TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa2e1…f9c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$176.74
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$77.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$315.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$62.96
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Kecmanovicbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$104.62
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$120.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$117.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$141.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.57
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$97.56
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$211.54
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$89.51
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.