TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Naomi Osakaof Naomi Osaka, Eva Lys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Eva Lys22c29,400$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.0493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eva Lys11c19,806$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eva Lys30c14,506$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Eva Lys25c13,741$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.4611438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Naomi Osaka75c13,331$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.930056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Naomi Osaka57c10,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Eva Lys7c9,390$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.6347728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Eva Lys30c9,000$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.9913631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka75c7,290$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.7959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Naomi Osaka69c6,820$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.3741251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka76c3,534$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.061,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Eva Lys17c3,327$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504721.3%10 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Naomi Osaka73c3,296$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.615158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Naomi Osaka68c3,052$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.0464755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Eva Lys25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Eva Lys11c2,962$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.396336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Naomi Osaka69c2,790$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5525764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eva Lys13c2,509$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.882,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Eva Lys23c2,335$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.151,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Naomi Osaka76c2,010$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.411945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Eva Lys23c2,000$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Eva Lys25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Eva Lys18c1,885$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.841,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eva Lys25c1,860$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.914,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka76c1,810$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3753655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eva Lys26c1,800$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.979,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c77…2c45backed Eva Lys29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009151.6%47 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Naomi Osaka68c1,700$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.932735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eva Lys11c1,676$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.762,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Naomi Osaka77c1,669$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0241060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Eva Lys16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Eva Lys24c1,458$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Naomi Osaka71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.863943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Naomi Osaka77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32236661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Naomi Osaka60c1,397$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6115252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Naomi Osaka75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3379855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Eva Lys16c1,325$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.485,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Eva Lys29c1,220$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Eva Lys23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed Eva Lys24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Eva Lys24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Eva Lys10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Eva Lys25c925.09$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.117842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Naomi Osaka77c900$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20718756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Eva Lys23c873.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Naomi Osaka80c843.25$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.651,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Eva Lys12c839.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5339238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Eva Lys21c815.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17516743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Naomi Osaka74c808.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3873458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Naomi Osaka64c803.01$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.617649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Naomi Osaka77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.226457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Eva Lys26c752$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5250340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Eva Lys21c735.01$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1828039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Eva Lys2c727.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed Eva Lys25c683.59$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Naomi Osaka72c645.22$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.826,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Eva Lys15c641.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8120749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Eva Lys25c640$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Eva Lys16c600$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.684,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Eva Lys24c595.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.831,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Eva Lys23c543$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.897,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Eva Lys27c537.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.433,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Naomi Osaka76c531.34$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3471165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Eva Lys21c523.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Eva Lys39c517.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.565147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Naomi Osaka68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16075748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eva Lys28c487.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.677,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Eva Lys24c486.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2419339.4%76 W · 117 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Eva Lys18c485.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.271,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Naomi Osaka77c480$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.112,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Eva Lys2c478.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Eva Lys25c430.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.642,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c3c…4683backed Eva Lys3c425.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec6…0e3abacked Eva Lys32c415.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.586361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Eva Lys19c412.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3838931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Eva Lys25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…ed4ebacked Naomi Osaka75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf31…6575backed Eva Lys31c399.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1246631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Eva Lys25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Naomi Osaka76c393.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0746562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Naomi Osaka77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6111956.3%67 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Eva Lys23c383.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906933.3%23 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Eva Lys21c329.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Eva Lys15c328.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2529519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Eva Lys6c320.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Eva Lys11c314$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2346040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Naomi Osaka74c310.52$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8292145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Eva Lys16c309.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Eva Lys32c306.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8842839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Naomi Osaka77c306$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6970465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Eva Lys23c301.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2630827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Eva Lys18c300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Naomi Osaka76c299$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.769553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e1…f9c6backed Eva Lys26c295.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.575343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Naomi Osaka77c292.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2115854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Naomi Osaka80c273.44$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Naomi Osaka75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6784857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Eva Lys19c262.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1918033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Naomi Osaka76c256.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2324762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Eva Lys27c246.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.