TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58a6…b9de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$294.3
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.45
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi Youbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$70.1
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$155.08
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Kostyuk vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$408.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.3
Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Renata Zarazuabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$266.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Cirstea vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$471
Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchibacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherifbacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$98.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$71.86
Zakharova vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+106%+$106
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Kaja Juvanbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Valencia: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Paris: Yulia Putintseva vs Veronika Podrezbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Gauff vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$45.24
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,756.32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$297.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+240.6%+$240.62
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$735.64
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.9
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+148.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$43.13
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,773.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,481.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.