Tennis · resolved market
Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1d9130768b937ba8eb71f859e6c8662375cb943354ccd947ac09e34a8919c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 20,395$8,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,977.79 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over | 56c | 17,056$9,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.14 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 56c | 11,408$6,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.9 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Over | 55c | 2,682$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 329 | 35.6%117 W · 212 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 56c | 1,731$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.91 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,590$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 1,442$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.94 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 1,105$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 43c | 908.16$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…cc9fbacked Over | 56c | 898.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 56c | 599.66$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…1cd1backed Over | 55c | 545.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…8870backed Under | 46c | 510.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 42c | 449.42$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 48c | 406.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 44c | 402.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 45c | 332.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 306.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…b9debacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 67c | 179.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Over | 50c | 140.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 362 | 61.6%223 W · 139 L | +40.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 41c | 98.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Under | 47c | 93.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 72.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 42c | 69.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…3784backed Over | 56c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…8634backed Over | 55c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 48c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Coco Gauff vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.