Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b24b366d2ab751c98ccbd94bcd3fb590e455a01b674bfc544ea6e8f869d77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Gauff, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svitolina | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gauff | 60c | 3,995$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Gauff | 60c | 3,756$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.49 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gauff | 60c | 2,737$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.43 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Gauff | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Svitolina | 39c | 870.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Gauff | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Gauff | 60c | 459.17$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 60c | 415.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Gauff | 60c | 412.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gauff | 59c | 310$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Gauff | 63c | 294.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Svitolina | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Svitolina | 47c | 212.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 53c | 194.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Gauff | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Gauff | 59c | 163.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Gauff | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Svitolina | 46c | 141.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Gauff | 76c | 132.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…0d32backed Gauff | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 54c | 127.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Gauff | 41c | 125.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Gauff | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Svitolina | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Gauff | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Gauff | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Gauff | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Gauff | 60c | 66.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Svitolina | 41c | 61.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Gauff | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Gauff | 25c | 59.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gauff | 60c | 58.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Svitolina | 29c | 55.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Gauff | 54c | 55.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gauff | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Svitolina | 40c | 39.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff | 54c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Gauff | 55c | 35.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…00bcbacked Gauff | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gauff | 46c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Gauff | 56c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolinathis page
- Coco Gauff vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.