Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792b1b79da4069f35bee33e5a04b3ca22aa178b7d5ddf54487aed7fbe38fd246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,726,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,905,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,726,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 0c | 423,064$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.08 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 118,766$33,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,380.4 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 19c | 75,926$14,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,247.84 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 42,307$16,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,992.09 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 56c | 38,434$21,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,745.79 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Yes | 76c | 38,065$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,064.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 28,279$10,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,576.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 22,972$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 13c | 22,484$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,560.78 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 18c | 21,798$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,674.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 56c | 17,734$9,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,878.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 57c | 17,657$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.91 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 27c | 16,377$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 15,643$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.4 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c7adbacked Yes | 13c | 15,259$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,275.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 14,972$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,083.87 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 20c | 13,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 11,774$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 20c | 11,667$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 26c | 11,401$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,401.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 11,336$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.23 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked No | 1c | 10,807$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 59c | 10,518$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 20c | 10,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 8,826$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.93 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 15c | 8,551$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.5 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 63c | 8,100$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.27 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 2c | 7,561$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 7,309$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.92 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…9869backed Yes | 19c | 7,000$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 13c | 6,923$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 69c | 6,773$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 19c | 6,771$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.01 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 66c | 6,100$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 55c | 5,500$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.32 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 61c | 5,253$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.93 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 4c | 5,200$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 54c | 5,186$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.82 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 4,820$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.07 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 52c | 4,504$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 52c | 4,375$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.88 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 34c | 4,339$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.43 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 4,314$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.48 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…432abacked No | 7c | 4,044$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 13c | 3,687$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,680$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.52 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 3,664$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,457$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.14 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 31c | 3,300$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.71 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 74c | 3,281$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.06 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 52c | 3,199$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.11 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 3,194$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.26 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…4211backed Yes | 13c | 3,168$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.92 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 14c | 2,959$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.68 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 2,924$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.82 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 63c | 2,859$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 2,722$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.63 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 6c | 2,700$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 12c | 2,668$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.82 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 64c | 2,632$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.02 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 2,617$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed No | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…635fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,489$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,450$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,332$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 37c | 2,280$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.58 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 20c | 2,201$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.69 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,183$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.34 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 55c | 2,163$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.41 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 31c | 2,042$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.1 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,030$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 2,029$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.31 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 51c | 2,001$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,973$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Yes | 70c | 1,854$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,845$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.94 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,834$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 56c | 1,801$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 30c | 1,797$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 15c | 1,788$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.05 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 77c | 1,712$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.36 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Yes | 53c | 1,700$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0afabacked Yes | 61c | 1,627$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 65c | 1,590$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…9e4cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.