Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8787d995f084f8eb345ccf3a199446681bba11745593cef00f305ff33f55ece5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 0c | 46,594$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 20c | 40,629$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 28,592$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 20c | 27,700$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 25c | 24,507$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 19,356$15,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.12 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed No | 76c | 17,840$13,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 17,068$13,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 14,277$11,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.71 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 24c | 6,667$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,072$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.61 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 5,362$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.19 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 5,114$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.8 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 77c | 4,600$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 4,398$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 24c | 3,472$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,181$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 80c | 3,030$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.03 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 2,967$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb7…8db0backed Yes | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 23c | 2,689$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 2,610$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 2,597$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.12 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 24c | 2,473$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.24 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 2,462$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,291$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 2,202$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 2,005$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,858$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,709$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 22c | 1,625$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 78c | 1,486$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 1,403$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,357$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 1,080$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 999.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 994.32$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 80c | 960$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…51f7backed Yes | 4c | 949.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 939.18$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 23c | 920$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 2c | 873.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 24c | 843.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked Yes | 23c | 816$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…d267backed Yes | 23c | 786.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 15c | 750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 76c | 735.96$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 76c | 704.31$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 694.67$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 686.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 78c | 663.59$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 3c | 637.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 629.73$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Yes | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked No | 77c | 519.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 14c | 513.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed No | 79c | 502.35$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 22c | 472.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 80c | 470.49$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 20c | 466.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 80c | 460$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 458.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 20c | 455$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 21c | 442.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 413.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 408.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 27c | 371.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 80c | 358.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 347.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 23c | 331.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…8aa0backed Yes | 24c | 309$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 289.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 282$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 74c | 280.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 279.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.