Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0433839be2e0889423ff0a0efae939272899d09c284d309b346d3991d003c4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,679,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,784,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,679,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 67c | 4,984,741$3,319,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319,119.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 34c | 975,894$332,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643,126.14 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 60c | 691,547$416,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416,318.43 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 34c | 532,699$179,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352,826.1 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 36c | 425,842$151,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274,469.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 36c | 393,624$141,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,144.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 34c | 390,712$132,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,806.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 388,117$213,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,525.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 34c | 254,721$86,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,735.35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 244,098$87,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,745.65 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 33c | 236,850$78,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,633.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 33c | 211,500$69,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,820 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 33c | 202,163$65,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,352.68 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 200,000$68,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 38c | 183,187$69,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,250.62 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 40c | 161,809$64,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,820.05 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 60c | 154,243$93,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,003.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 32c | 146,257$46,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,717.47 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 44c | 93,000$40,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,954.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 33c | 89,137$29,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,060.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 38c | 85,388$32,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,920.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 36c | 72,970$26,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,500.26 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 32c | 72,766$23,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,177.78 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 69,940$26,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,886.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 65,391$37,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,865.33 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 33c | 62,218$20,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,442.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 34c | 60,007$20,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,526.56 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 62c | 60,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,200 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed No | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,599.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 31c | 59,878$18,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,208.3 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 51,453$21,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,354.4 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 31c | 51,371$16,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,223.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Yes | 69c | 50,347$34,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,739.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 42c | 48,606$20,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,370.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 31c | 48,387$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,387.1 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 43,396$16,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,580.02 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 42,119$15,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,021.96 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 41,149$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,908.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 38c | 39,020$14,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,192.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 68c | 37,000$25,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,159.86 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 33c | 35,105$11,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,520.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 33c | 34,423$11,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,028.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 31c | 34,320$10,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,540.58 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 58c | 33,364$19,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,351.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 32,946$17,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,533.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 31c | 32,575$10,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,476.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 31c | 31,348$9,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,540.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +99%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 69c | 27,347$18,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,869.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 32c | 26,193$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,714.56 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 31c | 25,942$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,900.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 33c | 24,769$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,595.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 62c | 24,194$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 34c | 23,669$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,685.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 68c | 23,500$16,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,064.91 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 65c | 23,000$14,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,950 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 32c | 21,982$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,948.02 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 41c | 20,195$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 32c | 19,272$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,062.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 18,520$9,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,336.26 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 36c | 17,520$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,207.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes | 3c | 17,204$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 56c | 16,481$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 38c | 16,204$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,008.9 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 15,784$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650.37 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 37c | 15,127$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,593.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 36c | 15,114$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,708.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 33c | 15,100$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,117 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…b940backed Yes | 46c | 15,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 41c | 14,546$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.19 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 13,820$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,397.53 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 13,787$10,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.92 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 32c | 13,281$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 13,143$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.72 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 33c | 12,784$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,610.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 35c | 12,640$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,216 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 32c | 11,981$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,177.55 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 19c | 11,808$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.74 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…363dbacked Yes | 68c | 11,491$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,813.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 23c | 10,703$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 10,449$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.74 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…fefcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 64c | 9,700$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 42c | 9,524$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.75 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 71c | 9,518$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.62 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 34c | 9,420$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 31c | 9,168$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.74 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Yes | 57c | 8,612$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 32c | 8,502$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 44c | 8,391$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.79 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 8,197$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 1c | 8,090$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 31c | 8,013$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.