NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42601cf36682003efde851674e0de9ba1b45f186cc75348a64c53e00f3c43866

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,086,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,223,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,086,385 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	50c	475,440$238,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237,060.3	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	51c	419,499$213,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205,554.63	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Cavaliers	50c	295,443$147,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147,721.51	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Cavaliers	49c	260,000$127,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,400	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	48c	256,776$124,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124,252.24	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	51c	214,758$109,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105,305.87	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers	49c	121,865$59,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,713.61	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Cavaliers	49c	100,261$49,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,127.72	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers	49c	81,414$39,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,892.71	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Pistons	51c	78,431$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,431.37	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons	51c	69,279$35,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,077.37	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons	51c	46,908$23,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,985.11	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	49c	45,000$21,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,849.96	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	48c	42,265$20,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,309.94	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons	52c	40,385$21,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,384.62	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Pistons	51c	33,371$17,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,351.84	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Cavaliers	49c	30,500$14,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,945	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons	52c	28,846$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,846.15	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Cavaliers	49c	26,647$13,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,057	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	49c	26,290$12,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,911.93	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	49c	19,480$9,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,545.2	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers	50c	16,154$8,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,063.74	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b1…323cbacked Cavaliers	49c	15,996$7,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,837.86	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	50c	14,635$7,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,317.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers	48c	14,625$7,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,019.81	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Pistons	52c	14,423$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,923.08	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers	49c	14,007$6,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,848.98	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	49c	13,729$6,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,991.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons	52c	12,000$6,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,819.96	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Cavaliers	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.89	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	48c	9,725$4,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,669.71	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons	52c	9,617$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,616.73	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.38	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons	52c	9,409$4,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,515.77	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Cavaliers	49c	9,363$4,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,587.74	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers	49c	9,006$4,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,412.95	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons	51c	9,000$4,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,409.97	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons	52c	8,945$4,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,293.83	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Cavaliers	49c	8,571$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	50c	8,500$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,250	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Cavaliers	50c	7,856$3,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,928.11	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Cavaliers	49c	7,633$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers	54c	7,176$3,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,865.91	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers	49c	7,000$3,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,430	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	36c	6,845$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.92	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Cavaliers	49c	6,735$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Cavaliers	49c	6,449$3,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,160	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers	48c	6,200$2,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,976	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.99	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Cavaliers	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.97	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	53c	5,870$3,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,108.18	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Cavaliers	49c	5,840$2,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,861.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Cavaliers	49c	5,827$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,855.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2056…2189backed Cavaliers	49c	5,800$2,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,842	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Cavaliers	49c	5,714$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Cavaliers	49c	5,700$2,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,793	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers	42c	5,476$2,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.49	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Pistons	51c	5,339$2,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.93	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	40cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	47c	5,228$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.37	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Cavaliers	49c	5,112$2,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,505	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Cavaliers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	45c	4,590$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.18	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons	51c	4,500$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,205	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers	48c	4,356$2,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,090.88	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Cavaliers	50c	4,021$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.42	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Cavaliers	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Pistons	52c	3,889$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.61	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0279…e25ebacked Cavaliers	49c	3,886$1,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,904.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Cavaliers	49c	3,837$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pistons	52c	3,697$1,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.7	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Cavaliers	37c	3,611$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.66	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Cavaliers	49c	3,382$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.17	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Cavaliers	49c	3,367$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	51c	3,000$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.55	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cavaliers	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.97	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Cavaliers	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.91	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pistons	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.62	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Pistons	53c	2,700$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.99	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f91…00e7backed Cavaliers	49c	2,426$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Pistons	52c	2,404$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.85	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Cavaliers	49c	2,360$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.4	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Pistons	52c	2,356$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.64	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	48c	2,223$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.99	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,222$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.67	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Pistons	58c	2,160$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.21	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers	17c	2,121$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.13	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30bc…9920backed Pistons	50c	2,079$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.5	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Cavaliers	49c	2,063$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.9	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavaliers	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf681…9b77backed Cavaliers	49c	2,006$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Pistons	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+15.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Pistons	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5No won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event