NBA · resolved market
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5657ef5d97b723ab01c9d046f6b6fcc6d051c5f41eaec1a2c8d6d3ea6908ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 55c | 940.23$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.34 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 53c | 939.98$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 45c | 443.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Yes | 46c | 358$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 52c | 355.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 46c | 197.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed No | 54c | 182$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 47c | 164.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes | 47c | 156$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Yes | 51c | 117.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Yes | 45c | 107.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Yes | 47c | 106.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked No | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…2f7ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed No | 57c | 88.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 54c | 85.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Yes | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed No | 61c | 81.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed Yes | 36c | 66.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 51c | 60.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 57.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 53c | 57.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 47c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 41.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 46c | 39.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 47c | 35.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed Yes | 45c | 33.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…774abacked Yes | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e217backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.