TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d0d…7435backed Cavaliers50c4,400$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.398339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons49c4,134$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.4869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers55c3,462$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Pistons42c2,354$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.627243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers65c2,200$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.9873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Pistons62c1,527$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.127357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons51c1,129$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons36c1,018$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.9930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Cavaliers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons51c806.65$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons59c682.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers57c510.45$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Cavaliers39c510.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1996448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Cavaliers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons43c480.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons44c449$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.222,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…19ddbacked Cavaliers52c300.12$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4879…86c0backed Cavaliers33c296.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.589246.7%43 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Pistons24c282.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Cavaliers50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers43c268.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.562,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Cavaliers57c260$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478043.8%35 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…0caabacked Pistons63c232.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.172045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers37c229.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavaliers50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Cavaliers46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Cavaliers70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Cavaliers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Pistons25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505016%8 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons30c193$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.733,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pistons50c177.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…c105backed Pistons57c174.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons63c168.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons46c144.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons27c143.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Pistons48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Cavaliers52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.85651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f4b…3963backed Cavaliers49c138.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Cavaliers74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007570.7%53 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers75c125$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Pistons62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers49c112.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Pistons28c104.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5927463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Cavaliers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Pistons47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Pistons55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0670…877bbacked Cavaliers49c99.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Cavaliers66c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Cavaliers59c85.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.174658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cavaliers43c71.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Cavaliers71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons68c67.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Cavaliers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Pistons42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Pistons50c59.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.75261.5%32 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Cavaliers55c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.455558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons34c56.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Pistons46c54.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Pistons48c54.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.497062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Pistons37c50.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.626274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Cavaliers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Cavaliers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Pistons57c46.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.345435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers47c45.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Pistons48c41.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Cavaliers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Pistons60c37.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.116437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Pistons50c37.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.877834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…c3c3backed Pistons46c31.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Cavaliers43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.117052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Pistons55c29.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4116033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6756…0e82backed Cavaliers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Pistons39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…6c90backed Cavaliers49c27.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Cavaliers53c26.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Cavaliers47c26.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc6…8f2dbacked Pistons47c22.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Pistons51c21.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5119445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Pistons69c15.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6821574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.