NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bceb31de280e34c5cc1b5eb04c58f59676304dbe1a41fb9b55b125de798ed5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,400$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.39 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 49c | 4,134$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.48 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 55c | 3,462$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pistons | 42c | 2,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.62 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers | 65c | 2,200$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.98 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Pistons | 62c | 1,527$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 51c | 1,129$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.12 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pistons | 36c | 1,018$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.99 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 51c | 806.65$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.81 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons | 59c | 682.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 510.45$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Cavaliers | 39c | 510.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pistons | 43c | 480.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 44c | 449$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.22 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…19ddbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 300.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…86c0backed Cavaliers | 33c | 296.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pistons | 24c | 282.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Cavaliers | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 43c | 268.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Cavaliers | 57c | 260$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…0caabacked Pistons | 63c | 232.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 37c | 229.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Cavaliers | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Cavaliers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…73e6backed Pistons | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 30c | 193$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pistons | 50c | 177.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…c105backed Pistons | 57c | 174.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons | 63c | 168.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 46c | 144.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 27c | 143.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Pistons | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…3963backed Cavaliers | 49c | 138.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Pistons | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 112.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pistons | 28c | 104.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pistons | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Pistons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…877bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 99.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Cavaliers | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Cavaliers | 59c | 85.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cavaliers | 43c | 71.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Cavaliers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons | 68c | 67.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 268 | 24.6%66 W · 202 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Pistons | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Pistons | 50c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Cavaliers | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons | 34c | 56.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Pistons | 46c | 54.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Pistons | 48c | 54.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Pistons | 37c | 50.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +11.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Cavaliers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Pistons | 57c | 46.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers | 47c | 45.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Pistons | 48c | 41.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Pistons | 60c | 37.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Pistons | 50c | 37.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c3c3backed Pistons | 46c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Cavaliers | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Pistons | 55c | 29.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -17.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…0e82backed Cavaliers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Pistons | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…6c90backed Cavaliers | 49c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Cavaliers | 53c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…8f2dbacked Pistons | 47c | 22.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Pistons | 51c | 21.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Pistons | 69c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.