TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over48c46,111$22,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,072.334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over50c44,343$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c35,930$18,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,780.5255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over17c23,725$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.711,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over14c18,384$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.7566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c10,218$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c10,136$5,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.7764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under47c10,004$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.2237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under54c9,851$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.1729650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c9,624$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under51c9,462$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.8665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over49c8,036$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,937.584134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc246…563cbacked Over49c7,738$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.39137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.38per pick45cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2314556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c4,880$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Over49c4,061$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.672842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under49c3,300$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6834362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,904$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over51c2,705$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.491,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c2,614$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,469$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c2,237$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.7556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under51c1,644$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.6817250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,386$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,375$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over56c1,332$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.9252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over49c1,272$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.343432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c1,121$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.3866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over49c1,052$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7617344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c866.31$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.495839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c726.86$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.561,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over17c697.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6514153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c683.75$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over12c623.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over17c575.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over30c573.5$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.693,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over47c499.62$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c490.38$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3850954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7715252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f8…b501backed Under62c480.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.462548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under42c465.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over49c460.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.276048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24311242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over29c433.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.967834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c417.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.641,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over21c410.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Under53c281.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1115844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over50c252.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6215649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Under52c246.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.154146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7716146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7712434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over45c230.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under70c223.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1520558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c217.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under53c211.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.218451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under52c203.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8512458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under54c194.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.445549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under52c192.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.447043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…97bebacked Over48c180.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…114cbacked Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c165.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Over49c153.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c147$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over49c144$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5629556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648d…2d10backed Over17c126.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over35c104.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.964252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5023246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4824948.2%120 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1525666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over15c93.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0647349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db6…5a6abacked Over49c93.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-83.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Over49c85.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c79.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.491,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.