TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shanxi Loongsof Zhejiang Lions, Shanxi Loongs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Zhejiang Lions70c8,999$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.572842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Shanxi Loongs26c4,498$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.4337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Zhejiang Lions75c4,021$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.056346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Shanxi Loongs31c3,493$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.176116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zhejiang Lions77c2,654$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab89…aa9bbacked Zhejiang Lions73c2,603$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Zhejiang Lions78c2,563$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Shanxi Loongs44c2,450$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.62850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Zhejiang Lions28c2,404$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.813336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…0caabacked Zhejiang Lions1c2,334$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Shanxi Loongs22c2,322$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.633735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanxi Loongs36c2,254$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.3643543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Shanxi Loongs27c1,601$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.765230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Zhejiang Lions66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Shanxi Loongs24c1,348$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.132842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Shanxi Loongs27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.17138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zhejiang Lions56c986.47$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8316828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Shanxi Loongs24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5309…6cdebacked Shanxi Loongs29c783.74$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Shanxi Loongs31c650.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4771…8055backed Shanxi Loongs31c600$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Zhejiang Lions2c578$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5613545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Shanxi Loongs22c575.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.278845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Zhejiang Lions68c544.65$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.736747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…ce69backed Zhejiang Lions71c531.97$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.081450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Shanxi Loongs29c531.8$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.752536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shanxi Loongs23c505.73$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1824430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Zhejiang Lions79c483.18$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Shanxi Loongs31c483.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.123145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Shanxi Loongs29c482.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.613345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shanxi Loongs24c425.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.595844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Shanxi Loongs32c423.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Zhejiang Lions77c363.92$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Shanxi Loongs25c356.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.121444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shanxi Loongs51c355$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.596061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Shanxi Loongs33c344.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.577042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Shanxi Loongs35c342.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.863641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Shanxi Loongs37c339.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbb…dbc6backed Zhejiang Lions79c327.94$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…a2ccbacked Shanxi Loongs24c311.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Shanxi Loongs28c306.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.822040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Zhejiang Lions57c304$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.810947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…ede3backed Zhejiang Lions79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zhejiang Lions64c279.86$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.934551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Zhejiang Lions77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Zhejiang Lions76c258.02$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.475747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Zhejiang Lions72c253.46$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Zhejiang Lions63c248.13$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.322157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Shanxi Loongs21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick39cpaid+149.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Zhejiang Lions29c237.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shanxi Loongs27c227.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…94cdbacked Zhejiang Lions74c203.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Shanxi Loongs28c202.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1613220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Zhejiang Lions75c200$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Zhejiang Lions79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1583357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Shanxi Loongs26c198.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.043823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0440…a03fbacked Zhejiang Lions78c188.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Shanxi Loongs28c178.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Zhejiang Lions78c177.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0d…5960backed Shanxi Loongs30c176$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.85560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Zhejiang Lions77c169.47$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zhejiang Lions38c167.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.265752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ac…16cdbacked Shanxi Loongs34c152.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Zhejiang Lions65c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.321764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Shanxi Loongs35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd746…1b6dbacked Zhejiang Lions70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa261…da11backed Zhejiang Lions72c137.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Zhejiang Lions72c134.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.991080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Zhejiang Lions74c129.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.859946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Zhejiang Lions40c118$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.434443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Shanxi Loongs39c117.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9510736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed Shanxi Loongs24c117.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Shanxi Loongs35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.292842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Zhejiang Lions67c112.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Shanxi Loongs28c112.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Zhejiang Lions78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Shanxi Loongs29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Shanxi Loongs29c99.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.981741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Shanxi Loongs27c89.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.628037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Shanxi Loongs28c89.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8910926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Zhejiang Lions71c89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.194131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e0…d1cebacked Shanxi Loongs22c88.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+115.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe04b…35acbacked Zhejiang Lions77c86.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Shanxi Loongs24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.333161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Shanxi Loongs24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.337341.1%30 W · 43 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Zhejiang Lions63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Shanxi Loongs24c75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Shanxi Loongs28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bba…fe34backed Shanxi Loongs30c70.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Zhejiang Lions71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Shanxi Loongs30c69.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8278…7f87backed Zhejiang Lions75c66.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shanxi Loongs32c62.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.755446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Shanxi Loongs30c61.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.423644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Zhejiang Lions73c60.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.952356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Zhejiang Lions76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Shanxi Loongs27c58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Shanxi Loongs26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Shanxi Loongs37c53.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+96.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Zhejiang Lions75c52.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.