TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iga Swiatekof Jessica Pegula, Iga Swiatek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$532,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Pegula10c42,828$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136.48,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Jessica Pegula0c38,960$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.61,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Iga Swiatek79c20,000$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9864755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Jessica Pegula20c18,425$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.4112452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Jessica Pegula30c16,815$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.445030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Jessica Pegula6c15,902$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7511438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Jessica Pegula1c10,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8444018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jessica Pegula18c6,232$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Iga Swiatek68c6,013$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.733955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Iga Swiatek71c5,309$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.61,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Jessica Pegula30c5,010$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50311945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jessica Pegula10c4,340$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.117,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Jessica Pegula30c4,190$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.7612536.8%46 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Jessica Pegula30c3,840$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.0313427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Jessica Pegula30c3,676$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.683815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Iga Swiatek74c3,393$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.791,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Jessica Pegula1c3,288$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309952.5%52 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Iga Swiatek70c3,220$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9661181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Iga Swiatek70c3,115$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.447848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c77…60d2backed Jessica Pegula30c3,060$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Jessica Pegula29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jessica Pegula29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9829146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Iga Swiatek70c2,978$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.411,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed Jessica Pegula0c2,892$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Iga Swiatek71c2,793$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jessica Pegula19c2,647$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.751,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Iga Swiatek70c2,501$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.311538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Jessica Pegula19c2,167$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2811154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Jessica Pegula29c2,095$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1613843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8510…aa8fbacked Jessica Pegula30c2,070$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Jessica Pegula29c2,066$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.048045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Jessica Pegula13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…9fd3backed Iga Swiatek70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003956.4%22 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+196.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa450…452fbacked Jessica Pegula6c2,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jessica Pegula10c1,958$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Jessica Pegula6c1,833$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016848.2%81 W · 87 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Jessica Pegula30c1,750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Iga Swiatek70c1,695$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Jessica Pegula31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed Iga Swiatek71c1,589$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.754269%29 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Jessica Pegula30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Iga Swiatek70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5794068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Jessica Pegula4c1,422$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.881,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Jessica Pegula30c1,414$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0824451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Iga Swiatek71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4510440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Jessica Pegula1c1,376$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8952739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Jessica Pegula30c1,250$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37516743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jessica Pegula20c1,118$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.592,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Jessica Pegula29c1,102$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jessica Pegula22c1,058$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.758,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Iga Swiatek71c1,033$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.618644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Jessica Pegula29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4553843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Jessica Pegula31c1,003$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Iga Swiatek70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0128756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Iga Swiatek71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29032735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Jessica Pegula30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Jessica Pegula12c983.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Iga Swiatek70c883.96$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1942839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Jessica Pegula30c851.2$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.367443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Iga Swiatek69c832.15$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jessica Pegula19c802.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.024,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Iga Swiatek71c774.65$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6517352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jessica Pegula31c739.28$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.883,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf12…afb8backed Iga Swiatek71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Iga Swiatek71c698.04$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.434463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Jessica Pegula30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Jessica Pegula30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbc…c980backed Jessica Pegula30c627.48$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Iga Swiatek71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17425244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Iga Swiatek69c597.69$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2899249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Iga Swiatek71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.386457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Jessica Pegula23c530$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12112134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Jessica Pegula12c509.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5928835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Jessica Pegula29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e64…d958backed Iga Swiatek70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Iga Swiatek70c499.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9915751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jessica Pegula28c496.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.562,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Iga Swiatek69c472.1$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9610551.4%54 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aef…6c9dbacked Jessica Pegula30c449.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Iga Swiatek71c440.17$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6531749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jessica Pegula30c404.58$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.652,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Jessica Pegula13c400$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5955243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Jessica Pegula30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0309…3e4dbacked Iga Swiatek71c392.85$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.931050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jessica Pegula29c390$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Jessica Pegula32c372.7$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2620234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Iga Swiatek78c369.5$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.517650.6%89 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Jessica Pegula25c346.66$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8619351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Iga Swiatek70c339$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.734242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Iga Swiatek71c326$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5442934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Jessica Pegula30c318.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Jessica Pegula31c314.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3616437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a2…6abebacked Jessica Pegula32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Jessica Pegula32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.224747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Jessica Pegula30c310$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9348144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d12…f251backed Jessica Pegula18c309.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f6…f9f7backed Jessica Pegula4c294$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessica Pegula17c291.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Iga Swiatek71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6984857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jessica Pegula10c271.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.732,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.