TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x256c…3046

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodinbacked Alisa Oktiabreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Nottingham Open: Emma Navarro vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$37.4
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.92
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.16
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$224.96
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmannbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$33.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$7.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$32.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltertbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.08
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.89
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.05
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+319.8%+$33.52
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+114.4%+$41.08
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$27.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$268.76
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+54.3%+$820.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+114.5%+$49.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$62.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.