Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc862f29613d58562a641ca9fa17dbe09c35c6fbec73dd682b5fc0ea16bf6819e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 44c | 35,933$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,122.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 56c | 16,860$9,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,441.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 16,078$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,766.07 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 12,923$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.38 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 11,978$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.68 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 55c | 9,466$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 9,435$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.68 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 8,545$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 56c | 8,082$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 16c | 7,978$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.51 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 7,003$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 6,790$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.77 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 46c | 6,094$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.05 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 65c | 4,824$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 44c | 4,493$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.14 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 45c | 4,451$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.53 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 2c | 4,250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 3,754$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.74 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 32c | 2,854$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.92 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 47c | 2,407$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 2,349$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 55c | 2,209$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…9910backed No | 56c | 2,184$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 5c | 2,090$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 2,045$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 44c | 1,890$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.23 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,831$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…33efbacked No | 55c | 1,562$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 56c | 1,517$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 55c | 1,498$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.78 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 64c | 1,355$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.83 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,246$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…c526backed No | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,106$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 46c | 1,067$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 853.25$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 797$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.35 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 792.48$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.77 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 45c | 766.35$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 760.65$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.59 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…2728backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Yes | 45c | 677.78$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 55c | 600$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 60c | 588$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 44c | 504.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…a107backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 61c | 491.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 46c | 334.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 35c | 334.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 295$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 65c | 264.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 43c | 256.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 57c | 248.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 26c | 237.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 55c | 199.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 59c | 195.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 65c | 193.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 46c | 188.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 44c | 184.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…f7f9backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?No won
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.