TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No67c10,601$7,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.26437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.038463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c8,333$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.7727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes19c7,077$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c6,790$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.6648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c6,465$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.7568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c4,897$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No67c4,854$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No67c4,500$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4855738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes33c4,276$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.0414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No67c4,132$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.623548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No67c4,121$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.024658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes32c2,406$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7702035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No67c2,308$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.4922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6409556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes33c1,818$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No68c1,469$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.838058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No68c1,428$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,297$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c1,078$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fb…d909backed No68c829.41$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes1c799.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9d…c0c3backed Yes22c617.09$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No67c616.94$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.596048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes23c568.74$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.814131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c545$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes34c497$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9816046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf3…41b5backed No68c482.35$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes6c458.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes28c456.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes32c412.87$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.129826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes25c392$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes25c364$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes26c340.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.12825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9626046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No74c272.31$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c255.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes9c226.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c225$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes33c221.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes33c221.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300e…dfb3backed Yes32c213.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c212$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.335215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed No67c203.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.011936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6219652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No76c185$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.374139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes11c166.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-85%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes32c159.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c149.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…e799backed No68c148.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No67c135.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.571241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c134.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6615…6fc3backed Yes23c131.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes27c130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.57439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes32c126.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5120741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4046…de2bbacked No68c123.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c121.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.589124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No79c121.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.586924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Yes31c121.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.732240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No68c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3917955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc6…d951backed No68c114.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes30c112.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7611546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Yes27c109.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc06…ffd6backed No68c108.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Yes33c108.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.823246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes26c108.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…a363backed No68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc18…6847backed No68c97.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…3babbacked No68c97.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes24c96.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes22c95.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Yes23c92.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb836…fa1cbacked No68c91.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…9b0fbacked No68c86.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.