Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c41f02fb950a2694e15866fe8ce15a15886428c8dfe304e93bc05b1aaaab9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 28,179$21,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.9 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 11,553$8,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.19 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 11,424$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.67 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 7,447$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.52 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 5,100$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 4,004$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.88 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 2,893$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.05 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 24c | 2,781$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 10c | 2,099$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 77c | 2,057$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.11 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 1,853$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 17c | 1,717$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,273$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 11c | 1,180$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…5739backed Yes | 23c | 868.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 22c | 850$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…4d05backed Yes | 24c | 829.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 24c | 698.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Yes | 24c | 670.83$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 23c | 636$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…f68cbacked Yes | 6c | 633.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 78c | 499.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 8c | 480.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 10c | 458.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 447.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…6fc3backed Yes | 9c | 445.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 12c | 436.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…c0c3backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 12c | 419.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Yes | 12c | 410.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 10c | 399.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 381.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 77c | 377.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 77c | 362.34$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked No | 76c | 350.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 345.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 77c | 325$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 20c | 300.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 24c | 295.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 293.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 8c | 279.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 15c | 265.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 78c | 260$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 78c | 240.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 24c | 212.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…753ebacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 23c | 205.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 194$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 79c | 188.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 24c | 169.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 8c | 168.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 23c | 154$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 77c | 146.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Yes | 9c | 127.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 24c | 127.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…0556backed Yes | 9c | 124.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 13c | 118.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 11c | 115.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 22c | 111.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 23c | 100.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 99.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 82.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.