World Politics · resolved market
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f297f4f9083bb1dcd118683d2b75ee79064997cf6ad078a85fd612c3de85083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,106,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 60,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…e4b3backed Yes | 1c | 36,627$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 76c | 23,103$17,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.71 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…4dc0backed Yes | 35c | 22,467$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…76a4backed Yes | 0c | 15,431$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 63c | 15,332$9,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.54 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 15,030$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.93 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…43eabacked Yes | 1c | 13,119$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3a…bc07backed Yes | 2c | 12,874$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3307…25d9backed Yes | 9c | 12,713$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…0accbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6015…1b53backed No | 51c | 11,921$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…ffdabacked No | 49c | 11,321$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 39c | 11,269$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,846.44 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2d…9ec8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…365fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,990$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…ff13backed No | 61c | 8,189$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…5eefbacked Yes | 49c | 8,146$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed No | 59c | 7,445$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…7ebabacked Yes | 40c | 6,509$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes | 62c | 6,462$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce85…00a2backed Yes | 51c | 6,417$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 44c | 6,164$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…f6f7backed Yes | 31c | 5,884$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fd…c6bbbacked Yes | 44c | 5,517$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 9c | 5,200$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…d538backed Yes | 2c | 5,122$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…1899backed Yes | 0c | 5,082$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 62c | 5,024$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…ee21backed Yes | 1c | 4,813$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,711$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…2914backed No | 44c | 4,651$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…c8d9backed Yes | 50c | 4,593$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed No | 66c | 4,269$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…27f0backed Yes | 47c | 4,257$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed No | 59c | 4,221$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked No | 63c | 4,045$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…ce41backed Yes | 1c | 3,856$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…cf13backed No | 78c | 3,795$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…f2e3backed No | 53c | 3,765$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 67c | 3,621$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.83 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…9dd4backed Yes | 6c | 3,608$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…dcf2backed Yes | 58c | 3,563$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964d…daf2backed Yes | 53c | 3,506$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7186…fe16backed Yes | 2c | 3,481$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c084backed Yes | 7c | 3,397$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce56…bdecbacked Yes | 1c | 3,390$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,068$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 2c | 3,050$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…18eebacked Yes | 38c | 3,048$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 55c | 3,015$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…545dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,995$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,984$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Yes | 53c | 2,931$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 2,812$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…c20abacked Yes | 51c | 2,807$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 64c | 2,800$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…2f71backed Yes | 9c | 2,792$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…4a6fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,696$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…3d4dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,638$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 67c | 2,629$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.75 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8e…1483backed Yes | 58c | 2,598$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 34c | 2,592$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…8486backed Yes | 1c | 2,561$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…8690backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 77c | 2,465$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…56d3backed No | 78c | 2,400$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 43c | 2,356$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…468dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,333$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes | 46c | 2,331$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.85 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…3b37backed No | 67c | 2,285$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…5501backed No | 61c | 2,185$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 52c | 2,129$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 64c | 2,119$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…bbdebacked Yes | 52c | 2,113$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…784cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,110$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed Yes | 37c | 2,074$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…9b1cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,064$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed No | 49c | 2,037$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 42c | 2,010$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed Yes | 46c | 2,001$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…6a08backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…2b6dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3afebacked Yes | 6c | 1,986$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed No | 66c | 1,981$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed No | 47c | 1,963$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 48c | 1,953$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 47c | 1,926$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed No | 53c | 1,857$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 48c | 1,853$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.48 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,846$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…ba49backed No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…0687backed Yes | 14c | 1,800$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b5…89b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,795$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…69efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,767$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 1,764$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.88 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 38c | 1,763$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.