TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c16,969$10,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,487.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c7,143$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over41c5,926$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.3245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c5,091$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over41c4,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under59c3,991$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.353956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over29c3,000$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over45c2,818$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.925248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9922639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c1,561$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under55c852.21$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Over29c828.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.287915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over30c803.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3848…9db2backed Under76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.479933.3%33 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over31c761.06$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3311448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Over49c690.15$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3214130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c580.86$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.463,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under77c579.43$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Under71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over28c460.25$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under69c457.39$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.641,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over31c450$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14119039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over31c450$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3419039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over25c395.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.272,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under69c367$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under69c362$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.222,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Over55c347.45$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.982944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…b7d7backed Under72c277.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.522334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over50c274.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under72c270$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.347049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94c…b5b5backed Under74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1e…27aebacked Over39c247.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Over42c236.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under55c224.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under73c218$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under68c200.02$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3432642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over27c187.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…f9e0backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5895…2d43backed Over51c184.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c173.74$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.182,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1c…b28cbacked Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over30c158.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9710354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f9…1835backed Over47c157.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…8d87backed Over27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-80.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1d…f3d0backed Under68c147.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.211866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over40c140.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.382,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf062…0257backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd17b…aa86backed Under77c130.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.033167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c127.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…4bd4backed Over46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed Over42c110.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.621428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under68c110.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2916633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under77c109.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.253366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over48c108.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over44c105.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Over29c103.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308545.9%39 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb19…caa5backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2928…cadabacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510348.5%50 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Under58c99.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.318541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x132d…2030backed Over27c96.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…0705backed Over28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x509f…876bbacked Over44c88.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Over26c84.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.864932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under69c82.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.471,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bce…3948backed Under74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.212559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…44e5backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8017…3366backed Under62c79.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf6…9baebacked Under63c77.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2760…bbabbacked Over24c75.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Over16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.086835.3%24 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Over42c71.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Over46c69.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Under47c69.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe4…6b3fbacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under67c68.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cc4…6184backed Over47c64.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over41c63.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.472,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb2…ccf3backed Over44c56.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Over42c52.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under58c50.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.031478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Under76c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.448451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Over45c44.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x669d…19b0backed Under65c43.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over46c43.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdc…3296backed Under73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under62c41.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4721565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x767c…dc56backed Under73c41.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.