TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d94…9100backed Under43c19,297$8,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,304.2746536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c18,671$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c16,343$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c13,928$5,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,724.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over58c13,076$7,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,490.195248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c10,355$6,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.924,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked Over57c9,515$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over58c7,388$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.966929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c4,771$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c4,755$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…2411backed Under47c4,289$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over61c4,149$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.9336247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…dcf7backed Over59c3,446$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under33c3,010$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.23956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over67c3,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under41c2,810$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.1716633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over62c2,530$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.5116746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over56c2,283$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.635062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c1,480$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under39c1,405$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over69c1,400$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under42c1,329$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5586541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Under42c1,288$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.4332765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c1,222$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.012,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over79c1,216$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.624858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over78c1,205$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c1,025$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0c…24d7backed Over60c910.36$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under40c897.16$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.951,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c896.41$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.863423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc743…c356backed Over56c876.95$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Over58c850$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3573839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4537955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over55c792.22$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.64940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c730.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under38c699.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26533350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over58c663.79$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.792751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c657$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.053,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over58c650$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2734238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c625$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.852,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over57c621.95$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4410273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.456950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over64c573$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2814463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under41c546.28$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9821343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over56c535.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.863360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over56c530.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.356550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under21c521.44$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2414244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.244452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under42c499.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9823729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over57c489.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.923928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over58c425.87$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.747238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1686762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8f1…f852backed Over72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.991030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.647541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Over57c348$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.916921.7%15 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Over58c343.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under42c343$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.883333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9812349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Over59c338.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.491741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over55c331.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.269752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c328.15$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over58c309.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9422652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c4…f3e2backed Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-64.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5895…2d43backed Over58c297.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Over66c276.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.614130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8618827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over57c263$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.099168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over56c256.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0717045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2410845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under42c250.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1735150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fce…6a51backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+151.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28e…b220backed Over66c249.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over60c249.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.525356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Under40c249.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddae…7d66backed Over61c247.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over56c229.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.86950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Over64c222.73$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over56c221.05$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6912028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c220$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.661,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under42c219.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1641344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cc…2488backed Over57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.531833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Under45c210.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over58c203.83$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6115949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over58c203.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.454946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa525…1e7bbacked Under43c202$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Over61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Over58c193.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2517148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over75c190.68$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8820186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over66c189.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3918040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0756…afecbacked Over55c179.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.731540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.