TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc743…c356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$48.58
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$316.69
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$210.78
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.3%+$102.85
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+36.1%+$535.76
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.9%+$100.67
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.3%+$32.32
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+102.4%+$106.24
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.8%+$102.06
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+77.2%+$387.02
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.69
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.81
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.04
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.67
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$349.02
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$812.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,369.78
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.8
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$385.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$311.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$204.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$318.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.71
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$525.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$194
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$238.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.