Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885eb4a05d417cbb654ae7490962584139b8d3fee803230015ab4153468a4135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 46c | 133,670$61,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,300.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 55c | 38,130$20,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,961.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…b258backed Under | 46c | 32,617$15,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,612.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 23,997$10,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,313.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…8cfabacked Over | 54c | 17,670$9,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,541.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Over | 54c | 14,815$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 14,167$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.72 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 13,918$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,653.79 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 13,851$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.17 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…03f4backed Over | 54c | 13,031$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,036.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 54c | 13,028$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 49c | 11,548$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…616cbacked Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 9,706$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.08 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 48c | 9,109$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.13 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 45c | 8,890$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 54c | 7,394$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 6,238$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.55 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 54c | 6,168$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 57c | 6,168$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.87 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 6,140$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.6 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.97 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 55c | 4,999$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 4,903$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.05 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,863$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 4,822$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.84 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 54c | 4,181$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 48c | 4,062$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.1 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 45c | 3,751$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 3,563$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.38 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Over | 6c | 3,548$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 54c | 3,473$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 3,197$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.19 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 53c | 2,775$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,545$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 54c | 2,183$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 2,100$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 2,100$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.21 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Over | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 53c | 1,844$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked Over | 54c | 1,820$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…cd9abacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…3ef5backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 56c | 1,655$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 55c | 1,498$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Over | 22c | 1,487$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Over | 55c | 1,345$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.95 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 961.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 55c | 960.1$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 47c | 936.77$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.77 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Under | 75c | 921.83$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 893.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 54c | 888$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 865.93$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Over | 53c | 759.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 54c | 750$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 44c | 747$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…a56ebacked Under | 47c | 710$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 46c | 706.74$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2419…1e60backed Under | 48c | 680.19$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…a0f1backed Over | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 51c | 640$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Under | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 54c | 611.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…65c6backed Over | 52c | 577.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 555.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 57c | 527$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 42c | 523.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 521.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.92 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.