Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efb6c2b0ebad800b837937313a400ee8ec5d4da427e6beab2f85dd76820afe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 50c | 20,069$10,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,031.37 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 14,959$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.17 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 51c | 10,757$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.12 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Yes | 49c | 7,367$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 2c | 6,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 1c | 6,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked No | 50c | 4,570$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 4,011$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.88 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.9 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 3,144$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.5 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 2,767$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.25 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed No | 51c | 2,432$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked No | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf265…8731backed Yes | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 2,035$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.74 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 49c | 2,025$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.75 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 62c | 1,915$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,433$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed No | 61c | 1,417$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 43c | 1,405$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.29 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 1,362$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.15 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…cdebbacked No | 49c | 1,323$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 37c | 1,254$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.07 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…ae81backed No | 49c | 1,168$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…12c6backed No | 51c | 1,149$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 50c | 1,100$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Yes | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 51c | 979.41$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.73 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…381ebacked No | 51c | 951$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 51c | 856$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.78 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 849.24$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.47 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 737.82$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.04 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 47c | 735.14$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.05 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed No | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 50c | 656.14$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 61c | 650.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 48c | 521.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 50c | 496.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 50c | 489.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…a45bbacked Yes | 52c | 488.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 62c | 483.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 52c | 480.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 450$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.41 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 50c | 400.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 400.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 50c | 397.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 50c | 395$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0c4abacked No | 51c | 392.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…e427backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 45c | 369.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 53c | 368.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 68c | 364.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Yes | 49c | 340.82$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes | 65c | 319.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 64c | 312.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 308.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 305.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 49c | 302.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Yes | 50c | 300.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 42c | 295.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 47c | 261.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 64c | 253.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 40c | 252.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 249.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 246.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 55c | 238.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 63c | 237.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 237.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…8d65backed No | 52c | 227.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 222.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes | 53c | 210.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…e87fbacked Yes | 57c | 208.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…c01cbacked Yes | 49c | 207.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 49c | 207.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…83b8backed Yes | 48c | 205.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.