Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc155c329e0da4428c983c893b037d75e233d894b6ae3b89efe3083e9a752adf8

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,717 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	32c	13,316$4,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,304.56	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	31c	4,661$1,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.65	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under	73c	4,129$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.07	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-8.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	4,015$2,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.63	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	68c	3,999$2,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.74	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over	24c	3,330$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.69	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	16c	3,265$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.44	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	69c	3,260$2,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.59	266	45.9%122 W · 144 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under	69c	3,100$2,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.08	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	73c	2,871$2,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.93	397	43.3%172 W · 225 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	73c	2,810$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.3	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under	69c	2,667$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.07	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	23c	2,500$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	68c	2,498$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.93	260	47.7%124 W · 136 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over	33c	1,930$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	77c	1,516$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.51	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	30c	1,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	27c	1,249$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.04	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Under	69c	999.99$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under	69c	974.97$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.54	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2419…1e60backed Under	70c	947.67$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.46	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	72c	944.44$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.44	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	23c	882.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Under	68c	832.36$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.36	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	33c	757.79$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	74c	742.32$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.32	220	54.1%119 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over	31c	738.87$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over	34c	738.57$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under	68c	733.16$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.16	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over	31c	642.99$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over	33c	582.08$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Under	72c	555.87$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.87	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.92	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+11.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26d0…a77abacked Under	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under	68c	500$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	67c	494$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.02	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under	67c	443.99$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under	68c	440$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.4	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…f103backed Under	68c	424.72$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over	31c	410.93$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.32	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	67c	399.98$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.99	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over	32c	361.98$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.83	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over	34c	353.12$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	39.3%81 W · 125 L	+25.6wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over	31c	313.4$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.11	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	32c	312.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Over	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	69c	290.22$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.22	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over	33c	255.59$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.34	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.8wins	-0.22per pick	46cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	28c	253.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	29c	249.83$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.52	403	50.9%205 W · 198 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…23d2backed Over	30c	237.03$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.11	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac5…fdaabacked Under	68c	233.82$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	69c	220.1$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.73	150	38.7%58 W · 92 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	32c	217.52$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	32c	214.92$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	200	42.5%85 W · 115 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under	70c	208.57$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.58	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under	70c	190.79$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.94	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	31c	167.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.77	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	30c	150$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	383	56.7%217 W · 166 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	23c	150$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	127	48%61 W · 66 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+15.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over	31c	145.16$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Under	69c	145.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.14	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe949…77e2backed Under	70c	143.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.06	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	61cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over	33c	142.09$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.89	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under	69c	138$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.52	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…a192backed Over	31c	137$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over	31c	130.17$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	22c	125$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb37c…f3f4backed Over	30c	118$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Under	68c	115.11$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.38	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6040…14eebacked Over	30c	114$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc3…6656backed Over	31c	114$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over	33c	112.61$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadf6…4eaabacked Over	32c	109.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0463…f69ebacked Over	32c	107.19$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95b…9fe8backed Over	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Over	32c	105.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…8e82backed Over	32c	102.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Over	20c	101.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…2328backed Over	31c	101$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over	22c	99.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under	67c	99.02$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.68	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	64cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	32c	96.96$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over	30c	92$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Under	71c	92$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.68	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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