Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc522f65141a3bb24fedce54c9b159d4aca8a75951e7adfdd939992b0ef77c497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,075 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 27,899$15,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,269.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Under | 55c | 18,648$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,256.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 1c | 17,953$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 16,756$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 8,175$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.29 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 6,665$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.74 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 78c | 5,342$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.18 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 47c | 5,296$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 5,078$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.67 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 30c | 4,844$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.85 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,629$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118e…53ecbacked Over | 79c | 4,176$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 47c | 3,666$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 78c | 3,300$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.97 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 22c | 2,855$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.66 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 57c | 2,616$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.03 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 56c | 2,562$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 79c | 2,140$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,970$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.35 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Over | 69c | 1,943$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…0e8dbacked Over | 78c | 1,918$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,743$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.01 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 47c | 1,719$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.04 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 26c | 1,499$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 78c | 1,274$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…26f0backed Over | 79c | 1,255$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 29c | 1,167$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Under | 41c | 996.78$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 61c | 904.76$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 855.1$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…4b14backed Over | 54c | 850.1$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 75c | 823.87$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Over | 78c | 811.5$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 799.36$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 78c | 740.59$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked Over | 77c | 725.88$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 687.32$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Under | 64c | 678.31$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 46c | 673.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 77c | 652.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 619.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.47 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 71c | 616.55$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Over | 64c | 515.34$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 506.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Over | 64c | 471.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 471.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 23c | 464.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 44c | 449.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Under | 23c | 435.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 48c | 420.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 21c | 409.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…a340backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Over | 78c | 380$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 78c | 369.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 328.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 38c | 322$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…96c1backed Under | 22c | 318.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 29c | 315$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +505.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…f02abacked Over | 66c | 304.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 26c | 301.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked Over | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…32e5backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…0fd4backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 286.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 79c | 284.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 78c | 282.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 74c | 279.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 55c | 275$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6852…ce4dbacked Over | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 77c | 258.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over | 71c | 256.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.