Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce281ebd8a58feb902edbb2bea33f4323dbf38999f414eadf36bb1161207ac78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenof Arsenal FC, Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,474 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 64c | 59,967$38,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,602.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 40,174$15,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,266.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 38,428$14,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,218.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 28,549$11,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,115.63 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 24,135$9,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,412.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 19,765$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.72 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 17,500$10,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.93 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 12,144$7,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.84 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 11,453$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.78 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 7,949$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.19 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 6,900$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 6,315$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 5,680$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 4,449$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.33 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.93 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 3,503$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.76 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 3,405$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 2,933$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 2,550$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Arsenal FC | 35c | 2,127$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 2,102$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Arsenal FC | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,871$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 1,483$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 67c | 1,464$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,210$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 64c | 1,138$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.57 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 1,046$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Arsenal FC | 2c | 1,021$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Arsenal FC | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Arsenal FC | 31c | 1,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 930.87$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 891$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 34c | 879.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 712.37$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 677.98$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 643.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 616.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 608.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 599.95$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 539.86$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 516.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 513.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 513.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked Arsenal FC | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 461.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Arsenal FC | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 422.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 402.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 401.58$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 379$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 358.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 354.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…a6b5backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 352.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…6854backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 352.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 64c | 338.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 326.52$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 325.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Arsenal FC | 31c | 322.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 320.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 317.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…5bb6backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 312.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…1efbbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 312.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 302.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 279.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…cd22backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 278.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 258.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 257.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 252$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 250.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 207.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 207.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 206.02$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.