TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maccabi Tel Avivof KK Crvena Zvezda, Maccabi Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c6,160$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.2113235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed KK Crvena Zvezda72c3,947$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.032544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed KK Crvena Zvezda46c3,385$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv27c2,576$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed KK Crvena Zvezda73c2,450$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.362133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Maccabi Tel Aviv15c1,965$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.852450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c1,701$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.1713650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed KK Crvena Zvezda44c1,679$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.914542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c1,629$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.326544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda77c1,505$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda25c1,472$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.534211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv26c1,216$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv63c1,154$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c1,145$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.487159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv53c1,066$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked KK Crvena Zvezda66c1,064$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7042157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda73c953.69$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1327557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Maccabi Tel Aviv27c834$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c642.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.863053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Maccabi Tel Aviv45c547.63$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.87100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv55c534.23$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.886844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda70c485.07$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407153.5%38 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed KK Crvena Zvezda51c443.73$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Maccabi Tel Aviv26c439.64$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7113147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv28c424.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed KK Crvena Zvezda25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv28c346.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed KK Crvena Zvezda69c306.45$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.152755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked KK Crvena Zvezda50c304.6$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.514050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c290.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Maccabi Tel Aviv29c264.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0756…afecbacked KK Crvena Zvezda42c243.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5360%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb398…3a9fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda67c217$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf2…9621backed KK Crvena Zvezda47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv29c199.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.294953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv27c199.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1531446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…ebefbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv26c180$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Maccabi Tel Aviv14c180$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.312213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68bb…7148backed KK Crvena Zvezda72c160.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv26c149.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.637247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv28c149.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9511635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c144.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c140.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c136$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9714847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv55c135.64$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2412268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc78c…cf91backed KK Crvena Zvezda44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed KK Crvena Zvezda68c123.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d8…2382backed Maccabi Tel Aviv26c115$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c115$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x952f…1274backed Maccabi Tel Aviv27c105$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda74c101.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.862441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv28c101.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv27c99.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0810945.9%50 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed KK Crvena Zvezda55c97.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.763250%16 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda66c92.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.38440.5%34 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc743…c356backed KK Crvena Zvezda71c83.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c82.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c82.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6c…88d5backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c79.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c77.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c77.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-66.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c75.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+141.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked KK Crvena Zvezda69c71.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.255046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv29c68.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.957733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c67.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c65.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c64.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c61.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv32c61.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.427338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc850…f515backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81fa…fb48backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb331…eceabacked KK Crvena Zvezda75c59.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…be24backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2710050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed KK Crvena Zvezda73c54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.624146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv30c53.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…47edbacked KK Crvena Zvezda74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c48.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.196363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c45.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c43.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c42.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed KK Crvena Zvezda47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c41.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed KK Crvena Zvezda66c36.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…1ef5backed KK Crvena Zvezda74c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed KK Crvena Zvezda69c33.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv32c33.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1518144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca8…7c13backed KK Crvena Zvezda68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda66c25.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv67c24.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.