TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,799,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,107,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,799,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c02…efd0backed Yes16c2,074,377$331,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,900.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c157,262$20,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,577.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes16c149,999$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.8615249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes13c149,744$18,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,983.3842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes12c78,973$9,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,841.6938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…1b86backed Yes4c55,614$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.361526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c54,693$8,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,651.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes16c25,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Yes13c22,262$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c21,503$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.08953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Yes3c20,446$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.89214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes13c18,166$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38624441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes14c18,120$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.44727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes4c14,660$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…5e95backed Yes16c14,250$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes1c13,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes14c12,064$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.452045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes1c11,904$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1521439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c11,603$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.246223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes15c11,009$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.222,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2626…b763backed Yes16c8,604$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes16c8,429$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.18719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes15c7,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05014226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes10c6,890$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.9214534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes16c6,806$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0896633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked Yes15c6,460$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.986536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e7…e6d0backed Yes10c5,824$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4a…e8a3backed Yes18c5,550$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes11c5,353$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5b…7796backed Yes16c5,222$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.514337.2%16 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d11…10bebacked Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes5c4,999$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Yes17c4,551$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6915937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ac…7b93backed Yes1c4,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes7c4,373$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9314542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.997035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.973339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes14c3,910$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes0c3,371$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c3,150$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4d…f0dabacked Yes17c3,002$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9270%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7958…d587backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes17c2,900$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49323230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes17c2,812$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4787842.3%33 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5166…cec1backed Yes13c2,765$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes17c2,647$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c2,472$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes2c2,303$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.624119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes18c2,170$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes3c2,163$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c2,103$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4430117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c55…c532backed Yes17c2,090$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.38951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7a…70adbacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c81…2392backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d83…e971backed Yes9c2,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c57…8fb3backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47dc…5ebbbacked Yes17c1,951$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.753450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c1,882$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Yes16c1,838$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Yes9c1,778$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe129…e18fbacked Yes15c1,773$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3111341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b4…ebebbacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…a873backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes19c1,658$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.013119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a5…2f8abacked Yes13c1,600$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x483d…3209backed Yes19c1,551$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.724837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes3c1,515$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf00…f509backed Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes16c1,482$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0618321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007646.1%35 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes8c1,375$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…ae4cbacked Yes17c1,364$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.881442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Yes8c1,350$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…ea7fbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005715.8%9 W · 48 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…d1efbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9a74backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008036.3%29 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7672…660dbacked Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda7b…eef9backed Yes8c1,119$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.616426.6%17 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Yes19c1,118$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.410328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…e60bbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes16c1,100$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5a…d76fbacked Yes16c1,093$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.81922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2f…0ed3backed Yes16c1,090$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7a…28e3backed Yes16c1,075$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes16c1,054$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.662725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd71…011cbacked Yes11c1,049$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207931.6%25 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.