NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79a0718572a9482e8ffb463a2d449a204c4a2c714684a6e06ecb6c67f606fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Nets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,227,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,392,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Nets | 23c | 149,980$34,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,495.3 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets | 23c | 100,326$22,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,761.17 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 19c | 57,704$10,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,963.67 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic | 78c | 52,700$41,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,566.97 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 22c | 43,965$9,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,672.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 78c | 40,868$32,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 78c | 32,382$25,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nets | 19c | 30,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Nets | 1c | 29,076$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Magic | 77c | 26,787$20,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.06 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Magic | 78c | 26,463$20,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.07 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 77c | 25,000$19,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.92 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 77c | 20,804$16,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Magic | 77c | 20,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 78c | 18,557$14,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 76c | 18,000$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 78c | 17,664$13,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Nets | 18c | 15,653$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.6 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nets | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Magic | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Magic | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…e916backed Nets | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Nets | 23c | 15,000$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.07 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…9218backed Nets | 1c | 14,792$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Nets | 20c | 14,700$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Magic | 80c | 14,700$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 79c | 14,541$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.19 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 76c | 14,479$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.03 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nets | 23c | 13,000$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Magic | 76c | 12,222$9,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.28 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 77c | 12,150$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.5 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nets | 4c | 11,420$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.79 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nets | 1c | 10,164$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 20c | 10,150$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Nets | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nets | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 79c | 9,343$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nets | 11c | 9,278$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Magic | 78c | 9,218$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.95 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets | 4c | 9,160$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Magic | 79c | 8,575$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 80c | 8,151$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.13 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 79c | 8,093$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 79c | 7,839$6,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 79c | 7,433$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.1 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Nets | 23c | 7,391$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Magic | 80c | 7,200$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Nets | 20c | 7,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…b851backed Magic | 80c | 7,145$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Magic | 79c | 6,900$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.19 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…3a54backed Magic | 80c | 6,500$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nets | 0c | 6,030$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…44eebacked Nets | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Magic | 77c | 5,378$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.01 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets | 4c | 5,363$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Magic | 79c | 5,288$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked Magic | 80c | 5,050$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Nets | 22c | 5,040$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.89 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…ebb7backed Nets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Nets | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Magic | 79c | 4,705$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.79 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Magic | 77c | 4,695$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…6ac9backed Nets | 20c | 4,396$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 22c | 4,135$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 76c | 4,119$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Nets | 19c | 3,901$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.26 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Magic | 77c | 3,675$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.32 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Magic | 80c | 3,466$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.1 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 11c | 3,318$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets | 21c | 3,121$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.37 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Nets | 4c | 3,115$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nets | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…888fbacked Magic | 80c | 2,973$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…d78cbacked Nets | 20c | 2,970$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Nets | 4c | 2,913$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Nets | 11c | 2,897$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.39 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…7dadbacked Nets | 20c | 2,743$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…40ddbacked Nets | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Magic | 77c | 2,640$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 80c | 2,615$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Magic | 78c | 2,540$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…7fe7backed Nets | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nets | 19c | 2,447$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.93 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…d41cbacked Nets | 24c | 2,410$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…3998backed Nets | 3c | 2,225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Magic | 77c | 2,166$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nets | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed Nets | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Magic | 80c | 2,000$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Nets | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3c77backed Magic | 80c | 1,780$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…0ee0backed Nets | 20c | 1,776$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nets | 23c | 1,772$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 23c | 1,742$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nets | 20c | 1,632$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Magic | 77c | 1,519$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 209 | 65.6%137 W · 72 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…2f79backed Nets | 20c | 1,510$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.