TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.981947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over52c19,148$10,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,144.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c16,381$8,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,228.6929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over49c14,893$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,548.82070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c11,193$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c5,776$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf29b…12cbbacked Under48c4,255$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d8…3e44backed Over47c4,012$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…e1b2backed Under53c3,955$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…e517backed Over47c3,922$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e4…cefdbacked Over52c3,899$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8578…8a32backed Over47c3,844$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35df…2fdbbacked Over52c3,788$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e22…ba19backed Under53c3,788$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f53cbacked Under53c3,766$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d6e…22d8backed Under48c3,688$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80bb…a629backed Over47c3,677$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c4…813dbacked Under48c3,654$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8b…8537backed Over47c3,636$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf03a…4d07backed Over47c3,626$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340e…976dbacked Under48c3,622$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b4…944bbacked Over47c3,618$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb73d…0cf9backed Over52c3,566$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19b…e5f9backed Over47c3,566$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6906…fc3fbacked Under53c3,563$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dfa…951fbacked Over47c3,544$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3d…9857backed Under48c3,544$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e8…6eb0backed Over47c3,544$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a24…ea5ebacked Over47c3,541$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb444…c1b5backed Under53c3,526$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee76…2271backed Over52c3,522$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef8…4ce8backed Under53c3,521$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253a…bf9abacked Under53c3,452$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07aa…9bc8backed Over47c3,414$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e0…a879backed Over52c3,366$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1930…19e6backed Over52c3,344$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4876…55dbbacked Over47c3,321$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525a…c738backed Over47c3,256$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb9…2e18backed Under48c3,232$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03a…cf77backed Over47c3,214$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135a…1ff1backed Over47c3,211$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe9…d141backed Under53c3,211$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb414…8688backed Under53c3,155$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc111…72aebacked Under53c3,125$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4f…1c1abacked Over47c3,125$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4091…b561backed Over47c3,125$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…34bfbacked Under53c3,088$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4720…af1abacked Under53c3,080$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…be7cbacked Over47c3,035$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa238…a081backed Under48c3,025$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…f1febacked Under48c2,983$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06bd…5917backed Under48c2,923$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad08…2909backed Over52c2,906$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…dfd6backed Over52c2,888$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a9…6e83backed Over52c2,877$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2a…08c3backed Under53c2,877$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc522…c5bfbacked Over52c2,765$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c2,705$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.5665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e53abacked Over47c2,678$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5d…7a40backed Under53c2,652$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc7…2373backed Under48c2,423$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde43…01fcbacked Over52c2,365$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05db…86f6backed Under48c2,230$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.861,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…08a6backed Over47c2,122$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa542…05c7backed Under53c2,044$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffd…70e6backed Under48c2,020$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ce…3e56backed Over52c2,006$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe238…98cabacked Over47c2,001$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa7…4774backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ad…4e1dbacked Over52c1,963$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under51c1,946$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.4158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e64…c826backed Over52c1,922$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd213…5d0ebacked Over47c1,818$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,809$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…3972backed Over47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf154…6890backed Under48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c1,785$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.5884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0592…f20cbacked Under48c1,778$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…b7cabacked Under53c1,772$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bb…9cc7backed Under53c1,766$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…71e5backed Under53c1,766$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under48c1,733$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.1719647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…dc92backed Under53c1,727$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6174…ca31backed Under53c1,711$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acb…da14backed Under53c1,702$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…de29backed Under53c1,702$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…1ef4backed Under53c1,622$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4319…dcc6backed Under53c1,499$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,414$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,329$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d7f…eadabacked Under53c1,221$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc30…56bbbacked Under53c1,201$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…42ffbacked Under53c1,188$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,162$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220d…81e1backed Under53c1,126$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.