NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5eee5ab0a75f303f0e82c9d9d2708ed57a4209bfd35db2dd65e7a23d577031d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,589$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,680$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 620.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 53c | 526$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 415.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 354.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 159$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…0b63backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 18c | 104.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 68.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 52.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 53c | 52.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 43c | 46.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…675fbacked Over | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…5426backed Over | 48c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.