TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Magic, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked Nets55c43,369$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,000.083946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Magic45c18,800$8,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,3407240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic44c10,859$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,062.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Magic45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Magic53c7,647$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.769852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Magic45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.6720849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29b…58d9backed Nets53c6,419$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae71…5d2cbacked Nets53c6,377$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets53c5,672$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nets47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic45c4,537$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic43c3,224$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Nets59c2,447$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.026055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf4…badbbacked Magic47c2,400$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578b…2c05backed Magic47c2,377$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a53…498abacked Magic47c2,249$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets47c2,205$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3721…2d48backed Magic47c2,189$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets9c2,046$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacad…8b87backed Magic47c1,981$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Nets52c1,933$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Nets57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Magic46c1,669$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.2158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164c…19c3backed Magic47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Magic45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1112850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Magic47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Nets49c1,028$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Magic45c920$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic43c898.94$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets56c897.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Nets59c762.71$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic42c667.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.623,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Magic43c645.74$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x927a…4eaebacked Magic49c589.31$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.551471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic65c535.81$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.453,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Magic44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic46c467.64$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Magic48c412.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3963447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic47c392.35$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Nets55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nets59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Magic45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.332326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Nets51c315.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Nets58c275.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic47c268.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Nets18c245$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.814636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Magic73c235$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4531144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets54c214.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic51c200.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Magic45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets53c188.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Nets56c185.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.914055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Magic49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.48856.8%50 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Nets56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic50c177.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Nets58c174.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10163142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Magic47c173.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nets59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.312743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Magic42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1619647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Nets59c167.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.017261.1%44 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nets58c160.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Magic47c158.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7914742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nets54c151$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nets51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Nets52c146.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic44c143.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.643,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nets58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Nets57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Magic45c110.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Nets45c104.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4748740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic61c102.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Nets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Magic45c99.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.532,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Magic52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Nets53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nets50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.527247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Nets59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.333360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Magic47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.137549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nets59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets52c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7238252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nets56c60.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic60c59.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Magic43c58.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.552,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Magic46c57.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.95642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets55c55.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.981,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Nets59c55.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets56c55.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Magic56c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Nets57c50.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.895,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Nets53c48.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.719951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Nets51c43.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4217233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Nets58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nets48c41.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0650651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4227…8c10backed Magic45c39.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.513444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Nets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Nets57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.