NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b24118a34c2cc4e9b2499fe34dab05e76aaf03f28a46483168a67f9e6bfaa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Nets | 55c | 43,369$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Magic | 45c | 18,800$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 44c | 10,859$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Magic | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Magic | 53c | 7,647$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.76 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Magic | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…58d9backed Nets | 53c | 6,419$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…5d2cbacked Nets | 53c | 6,377$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 53c | 5,672$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 45c | 4,537$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 43c | 3,224$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Nets | 59c | 2,447$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…badbbacked Magic | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…2c05backed Magic | 47c | 2,377$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…498abacked Magic | 47c | 2,249$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 47c | 2,205$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…2d48backed Magic | 47c | 2,189$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 9c | 2,046$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8b87backed Magic | 47c | 1,981$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 52c | 1,933$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Nets | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 46c | 1,669$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.21 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…19c3backed Magic | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Magic | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Nets | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Magic | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 43c | 898.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets | 56c | 897.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Nets | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 42c | 667.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Magic | 43c | 645.74$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…4eaebacked Magic | 49c | 589.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 65c | 535.81$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Magic | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 46c | 467.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Magic | 48c | 412.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 47c | 392.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Nets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Magic | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nets | 51c | 315.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Nets | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Nets | 18c | 245$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Magic | 73c | 235$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 54c | 214.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 51c | 200.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Magic | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nets | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Nets | 56c | 185.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa885…84debacked Magic | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 50c | 177.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nets | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Magic | 47c | 173.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nets | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Magic | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Nets | 59c | 167.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nets | 58c | 160.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Magic | 47c | 158.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nets | 54c | 151$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nets | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nets | 52c | 146.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 44c | 143.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nets | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Nets | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 45c | 110.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Nets | 45c | 104.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 61c | 102.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 45c | 99.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Magic | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Nets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Nets | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Nets | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Magic | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nets | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Nets | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nets | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 60c | 59.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 43c | 58.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Magic | 46c | 57.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 55c | 55.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Nets | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 56c | 55.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Magic | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Nets | 57c | 50.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nets | 53c | 48.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nets | 51c | 43.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Nets | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nets | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…8c10backed Magic | 45c | 39.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Nets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…3b3ebacked Nets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.