NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe054be5214fb64ad8f19e3ed3b526a311943b4c232a20d98e0c5438bce365f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 47c | 48,039$22,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,631.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Nets | 52c | 42,673$22,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,209.99 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 46c | 25,223$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,630.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Nets | 56c | 21,483$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Magic | 48c | 14,934$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.16 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Nets | 52c | 13,425$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,981.24 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nets | 53c | 11,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.99 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Nets | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 48c | 5,010$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.72 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic | 48c | 4,935$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.4 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Nets | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 46c | 3,606$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nets | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nets | 54c | 1,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 46c | 1,375$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Magic | 46c | 1,310$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.37 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 53c | 1,289$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.17 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Magic | 46c | 591.85$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 46c | 482.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Magic | 47c | 408.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 50c | 305.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 46c | 252.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 46c | 244.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nets | 55c | 240.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Nets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nets | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 46c | 185.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 52c | 172.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Magic | 46c | 166.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Magic | 47c | 161.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 46c | 123.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Magic | 50c | 112.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Magic | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Magic | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Magic | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic | 51c | 99.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nets | 51c | 85.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Magic | 48c | 81.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Magic | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Magic | 47c | 72.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Magic | 47c | 72.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Nets | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Magic | 57c | 69.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nets | 50c | 68.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 53c | 65.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Nets | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Magic | 50c | 63.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Magic | 48c | 61.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Nets | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 44c | 56.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Magic | 46c | 54.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Nets | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Nets | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Magic | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Magic | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Magic | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Magic | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Magic | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Magic | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Nets | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…4dccbacked Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Magic | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 43c | 38.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…d630backed Nets | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Magic | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Nets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Nets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Magic | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 48c | 34.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Magic | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Magic | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 209 | 65.6%137 W · 72 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…c0adbacked Magic | 49c | 31.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Magic | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…93a8backed Magic | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Magic | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Nets | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 46c | 27.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Magic | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Nets | 56c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Nets | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Magic | 46c | 21.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Nets | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Nets | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Nets | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Nets | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Nets | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.