TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Magic, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic47c48,039$22,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,631.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Nets52c42,673$22,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,209.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic46c25,223$11,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,630.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Nets56c21,483$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Magic48c14,934$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,734.167552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Nets52c13,425$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,981.2420744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets53c11,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.9946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Nets54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Magic48c5,010$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.7287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic48c4,935$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Nets52c4,167$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic46c3,606$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Magic48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Nets52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets54c1,858$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic46c1,375$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Magic46c1,310$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.379051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets53c1,289$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets53c1,000$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.752,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Magic46c591.85$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.65438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Magic46c482.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6147651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Magic47c408.62$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic50c305.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic46c252.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic46c244.26$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets55c240.8$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.391,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nets56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Nets52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nets53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Magic46c185.87$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.072,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic52c172.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Magic46c166.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Magic47c161.82$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2812549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic46c123.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Magic50c112.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.065642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Magic46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Magic46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Magic49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic51c99.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nets51c85.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7648451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Magic48c81.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6425143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Magic48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.953945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Magic47c72.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4615040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Magic47c72.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4616443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Nets32c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6235844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Magic57c69.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5925056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nets50c68.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8850651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets53c65.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Magic50c63.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Magic48c61.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Nets55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3324442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic44c56.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Magic46c54.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.669150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Nets55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nets56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Magic45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Magic45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8962450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Magic50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1356…d4f3backed Magic46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Magic46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4815347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Magic46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Nets55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Nets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d0…0671backed Magic48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets43c38.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.783,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Nets54c36.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Magic49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.866048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Nets55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Nets55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Magic45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.255644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Magic48c34.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Magic45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3316935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Magic46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6120965.6%137 W · 72 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc4…c0adbacked Magic49c31.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.593,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Magic47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.919050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…93a8backed Magic49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9831…9578backed Magic48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Nets53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8735049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Magic46c27.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9077…9c3fbacked Magic46c27.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.671,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Nets56c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Nets55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9912547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Magic46c21.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7145460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Nets56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Nets53c20.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.949046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Nets52c20.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Nets52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Nets54c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.