NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629fbe1979194b67074fc66b746357ba1a4261935e74eaf5065a2ca98d173194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 51c | 32,352$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,852.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 25,147$12,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,310.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 54c | 8,935$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,539$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,324$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 53c | 2,877$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.39 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,429$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,210$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,118$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 51c | 1,073$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,018$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 47c | 978.86$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Over | 35c | 894.19$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 73c | 835.02$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.14 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 789.24$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 728.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 665.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 586.67$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 583.96$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 32c | 490.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 463$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed Under | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +599%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 56c | 393.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Over | 55c | 366.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Under | 9c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 76c | 336.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 327.37$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 76c | 295.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 75c | 266.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 27c | 266.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 223.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 47c | 195$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 172.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 48c | 156.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 148.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 107.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…a17cbacked Over | 55c | 94.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30af…c754backed Under | 79c | 93.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 69c | 82.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 70c | 60.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 49.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 55c | 43.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Nets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.