TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7e4…a17c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.54
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+94.2%+$17.69
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76.62
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.47
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.48
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.98
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$40.46
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.19
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+74.3%+$17.09
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+71.6%+$24.42
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.31
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.32
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$43.63
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$18.99
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Nets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.4%+$42.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$22.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$34.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.31
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38%+$25.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$54.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.8%+$41.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$44.51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.83
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.92
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+158.5%+$35.45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+227.9%+$59.54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.24
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.6%+$15.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.6%+$45.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.