CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266b5447e7ad2d4d9eae9df523905307ab04314ed3e25ad6de359022f6c9471c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG | 48c | 208,116$100,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,713.52 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked NRG | 33c | 104,635$34,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,983.84 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked NRG | 49c | 86,556$42,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,412.31 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heroic | 51c | 80,225$40,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,614.52 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Heroic | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Heroic | 52c | 55,004$28,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,217.12 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed NRG | 50c | 39,477$19,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,738.26 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed NRG | 48c | 31,831$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,332.94 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 49c | 20,183$9,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.25 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Heroic | 51c | 20,000$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.2 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked NRG | 49c | 19,247$9,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,368.1 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked NRG | 50c | 15,146$7,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,573.16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Heroic | 50c | 15,014$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,507.28 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heroic | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Heroic | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heroic | 53c | 14,251$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.09 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Heroic | 52c | 11,085$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed NRG | 49c | 10,257$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Heroic | 50c | 10,000$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic | 51c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Heroic | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.95 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 50c | 10,000$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.1 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heroic | 51c | 8,517$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed NRG | 51c | 8,275$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NRG | 40c | 8,271$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.22 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Heroic | 53c | 7,613$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.08 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Heroic | 50c | 7,253$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 50c | 6,320$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed NRG | 49c | 6,050$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.55 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heroic | 52c | 5,856$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.87 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed NRG | 48c | 5,138$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.58 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed NRG | 49c | 5,011$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed NRG | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Heroic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 49c | 4,722$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic | 49c | 4,534$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.85 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked NRG | 48c | 4,444$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.89 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG | 48c | 4,121$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.08 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked NRG | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Heroic | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed NRG | 17c | 3,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Heroic | 51c | 3,500$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…2da0backed NRG | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…c2d9backed Heroic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Heroic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Heroic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked NRG | 48c | 2,960$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked NRG | 49c | 2,890$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…60febacked Heroic | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked NRG | 20c | 2,550$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Heroic | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…3aaabacked NRG | 48c | 2,459$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 19c | 2,410$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.57 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 26c | 2,384$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.77 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed NRG | 51c | 2,206$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.91 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed NRG | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NRG | 50c | 2,035$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.37 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Heroic | 71c | 2,012$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Heroic | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Heroic | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed NRG | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…1450backed Heroic | 79c | 1,964$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.73 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.62 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Heroic | 52c | 1,800$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.99 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Heroic | 49c | 1,707$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.14 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…7f31backed Heroic | 51c | 1,571$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Heroic | 52c | 1,554$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.26 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed NRG | 49c | 1,475$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.57 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Heroic | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked NRG | 49c | 1,375$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.78 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed NRG | 31c | 1,352$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.26 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Heroic | 50c | 1,342$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.8 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 58c | 1,318$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.03 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed NRG | 46c | 1,299$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.37 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Heroic | 60c | 1,133$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 355 | 45.1%160 W · 195 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Heroic | 63c | 1,120$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed NRG | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 28c | 1,050$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed NRG | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed NRG | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Heroic | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.07 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked NRG | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Heroic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed NRG | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked NRG | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed NRG | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed NRG | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed NRG | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…5623backed Heroic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heroic | 49c | 993$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 80c | 991.69$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.