CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620f6c53d15d125303f960648d3bc04a6bbcc8d80aef07e27edf846ec643abe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof NRG, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed NRG | 63c | 32,123$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Heroic | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 0c | 11,138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…ea0dbacked Heroic | 73c | 8,741$6,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…2d0fbacked Heroic | 70c | 7,795$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 50c | 7,016$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.69 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Heroic | 71c | 5,962$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.44 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG | 35c | 5,893$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.3 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Heroic | 50c | 5,024$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.76 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic | 70c | 3,143$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Heroic | 69c | 2,534$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.06 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Heroic | 71c | 1,606$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.31 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed NRG | 32c | 1,507$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 64c | 1,081$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Heroic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Heroic | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Heroic | 65c | 793.11$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic | 68c | 730.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed NRG | 21c | 649.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…7d49backed Heroic | 67c | 592.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NRG | 33c | 514.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Heroic | 66c | 369.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Heroic | 69c | 355.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Heroic | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed NRG | 30c | 267.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Heroic | 73c | 266.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed NRG | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed NRG | 28c | 182$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Heroic | 70c | 154.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed NRG | 35c | 153.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed NRG | 32c | 141.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Heroic | 72c | 114.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…7fb7backed Heroic | 73c | 113.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed NRG | 30c | 107.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked NRG | 25c | 97.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed NRG | 21c | 85.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Heroic | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NRG | 30c | 67.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Heroic | 71c | 62.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Heroic | 63c | 47.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…3eccbacked NRG | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed NRG | 28c | 36.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Heroic | 76c | 31.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Heroic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…3e41backed Heroic | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Heroic | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Heroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.