NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdff3d1d5c301c248f77f0420b640c0bfaa1d3a54f6d8d45465b8caf458cd6b6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Cavaliers, Thunder
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $834,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $910,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $834,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	51c	291,398$148,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142,785.23	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder	53c	237,123$125,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111,995.02	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Cavaliers	49c	130,926$64,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,153.88	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	47c	91,255$42,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,899.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers	47c	90,000$42,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,300	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder	53c	59,916$32,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,866.21	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Cavaliers	48c	52,000$24,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,960	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	48c	50,000$24,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,245.78	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	48c	30,012$14,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,314.19	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Thunder	52c	30,000$15,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,496.9	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder	52c	26,953$14,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,937.24	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers	48c	25,850$12,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,374.2	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Cavaliers	30c	24,208$7,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,186.4	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Cavaliers	49c	19,099$9,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,358.42	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers	49c	18,942$9,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,279	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	48c	18,665$8,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,881.41	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Cavaliers	49c	18,292$8,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,963	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers	48c	15,736$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,499.99	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	47c	15,232$7,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,159.04	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfc…e810backed Cavaliers	49c	13,615$6,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,671.54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers	49c	11,939$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers	47c	11,917$5,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,605.44	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Cavaliers	49c	10,269$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	78c	9,876$7,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,143.22	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	50c	8,200$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x008b…0d01backed Cavaliers	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,919.98	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers	47c	6,816$3,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,203.38	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder	51c	6,500$3,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,185	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Thunder	54c	6,120$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,819.64	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Cavaliers	49c	5,592$2,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,740	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	46c	4,330$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.48	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Cavaliers	49c	4,077$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.73	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Cavaliers	48c	2,752$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.9	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	49c	2,718$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder	53c	2,535$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.66	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder	53c	2,358$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.49	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder	54c	2,100$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers	20c	1,950$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.73	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Cavaliers	47c	1,921$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.44	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Cavaliers	49c	1,920$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.81	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder	53c	1,902$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.98	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Thunder	55c	1,811$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.1	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers	47c	1,702$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.94	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	47c	1,685$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.53	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Cavaliers	47c	1,575$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.25	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Thunder	52c	1,460$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.94	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Cavaliers	48c	1,407$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.52	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder	52c	1,300$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.72	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Cavaliers	47c	1,188$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.52	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	44c	1,052$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.05	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Cavaliers	49c	1,030$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.7	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Cavaliers	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Cavaliers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Thunder	51c	991$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.59	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Cavaliers	48c	951.1$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.53	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	46c	697.79$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.14	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Cavaliers	49c	671.43$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6341…8387backed Cavaliers	27c	600.74$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Cavaliers	48c	599.95$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.97	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Cavaliers	49c	550.44$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.31	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Cavaliers	39c	499.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Thunder	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Thunder	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	40c	452.73$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.67	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Cavaliers	49c	410.41$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.1	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Thunder	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	48c	392.23$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.9	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	47c	341$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.27	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Thunder	60c	303.33$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.4	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder	51c	299.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	44c	298.78$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.96	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Thunder	63c	297.2$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers	49c	297.01$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.53	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder	52c	296.57$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.06	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers	40c	294.15$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.58	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Thunder	52c	290.15$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.27	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Thunder	53c	278.8$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.04	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Thunder	52c	278.67$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.72	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder	54c	246.56$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.42	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers	49c	213$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.37	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…2810backed Thunder	52c	211.56$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.55	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Thunder	53c	209.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Cavaliers	48c	206.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Cavaliers	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Cavaliers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Cavaliers	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Thunder	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Thunder	52c	192.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.3	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Thunder	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers	49c	182.17$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.4	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Thunder	54c	169.13$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	231	44.2%102 W · 129 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Thunder	80c	156.62$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	221	70.6%156 W · 65 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Thunder	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	136	44.1%60 W · 76 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
Cavaliers vs. ThunderThunder won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Under won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event