NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc325302eb4cb73137155273fb025a366b110ab79b181ef747f8144b57c45c778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Cavaliers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 47c | 90,137$42,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,812.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 48c | 59,180$28,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,773.63 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 34,483$18,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,275.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 51c | 15,640$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,054.18 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 14,987$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 11,477$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Cavaliers | 53c | 11,320$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…0d01backed Cavaliers | 52c | 8,173$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 8,100$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,247$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.58 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,086$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.45 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 54c | 4,210$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 46c | 4,139$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Thunder | 49c | 4,122$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,898$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.72 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,681$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,668$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,238$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,963$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,882$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.28 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 47c | 1,686$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,578$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,455$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 10c | 1,397$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 48c | 1,389$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.03 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,246$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 48c | 1,235$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,092$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 989.55$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.36 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 935.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 56c | 897.95$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 834$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 47c | 791$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Cavaliers | 54c | 742.81$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 658.85$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Thunder | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 49c | 606.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.12 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 46c | 584.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 47c | 516.35$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 487.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 47c | 463.13$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 30c | 401.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 376.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Thunder | 49c | 376.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 25c | 305.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Cavaliers | 52c | 299.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder | 49c | 211.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 183.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 49c | 160.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Thunder | 48c | 134.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…8387backed Cavaliers | 27c | 126.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 118.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Cavaliers | 53c | 113.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 48c | 95.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 36c | 94.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Thunder | 49c | 81.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Cavaliers | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Cavaliers | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 79.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Thunder | 48c | 78.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers | 31c | 76.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Thunder | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Thunder | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 40c | 65.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed Cavaliers | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Thunder | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 49c | 61.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Thunder | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 59.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cavaliers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Thunder | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Thunder | 48c | 58.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Cavaliers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.