NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f0f2f59075351f28e890ffc2156973b608805cbbb1639d4920a26bd5a481b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Cavaliers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 44c | 23,176$10,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,978.39 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 15,744$8,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,827.23 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 6,004$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 4,734$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,336$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.5 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,345$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.07 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 45c | 1,723$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.09 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.83 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,509$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,461$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.77 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 27c | 1,430$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,319$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,154$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,104$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 28c | 861.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 47c | 820.17$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Thunder | 45c | 768$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 45c | 746.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 44c | 701.61$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 44c | 514.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 44c | 475.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 44c | 428.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Cavaliers | 52c | 394.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 61c | 353.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 46c | 341.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 44c | 316.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 29c | 293.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 44c | 274$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 41c | 249$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Cavaliers | 56c | 228.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Thunder | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Cavaliers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 43c | 185.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 45c | 174.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Cavaliers | 58c | 165.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Cavaliers | 30c | 146.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 46c | 124.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cavaliers | 55c | 99.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 44c | 94.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 90.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Cavaliers | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…893dbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Cavaliers | 53c | 78.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Thunder | 45c | 78.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 60.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…3541backed Cavaliers | 56c | 54.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Cavaliers | 51c | 50.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Thunder | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cavaliers | 52c | 49.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cavaliers | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Thunder | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…87fcbacked Thunder | 44c | 41.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder | 45c | 36.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Thunder | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Cavaliers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Thunder | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…eb45backed Thunder | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Thunder | 45c | 31.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Thunder | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 62c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 47c | 25.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Thunder | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Thunder | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Cavaliers | 57c | 24.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Thunder | 73c | 23.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…5390backed Cavaliers | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Cavaliers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.